TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079290
Played Sep 5Finished
Andrii Vasylets
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611511118710––
Maksym Hubenko
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Vasylets above · Maksym Hubenko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-10
Point 69 set 4, 7-10 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 61.2%
69 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Vasylets 16–27 Maksym Hubenko Andrii Vasylets has won 16 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:38What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Hubenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-27 in 43
Hubenko
Correct
gap of 11 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vasylets 1652 vs Hubenko 1710
Hubenko
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasylets 40% vs Hubenko 80%
Hubenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasylets 60% vs Hubenko 80%
Hubenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasylets -2 · Hubenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Hubenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hubenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasylets 2.38 / Hubenko 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Hubenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13079290
Vasylets2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog31% won 55 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back18% 20 of 109
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 63
Hubenko1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite74% won 240 of 325
Up 2–0, closes it94% 119 of 126
Up 1–0, closes it84% 166 of 198
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVasylets6wins
AwayHubenko4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVasylets leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVasylets75%3 of 4
AwayHubenko50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasylets4Hubenko6n = 10Hubenko took 6 of 10
S2Vasylets3Hubenko7n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10
S3Vasylets7Hubenko3n = 10Vasylets took 7 of 10
S4Vasylets5Hubenko3n = 8Vasylets took 5 of 8
S5Vasylets3Hubenko1n = 4Vasylets took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVasyletsHubenkoV − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.438.4+2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasyletsHubenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 524 vs 542 / 102045%53.1%236 / 524 vs 542 / 1020Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoVasylets 2.38/Hubenko 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 08:00A. Vasylets—1111123M. Hubenko—53100
LAug 19 · 07:00A. Vasylets—1011791M. Hubenko—12911113
LAug 16 · 15:30A. Vasylets—191161M. Hubenko—11119113
WAug 12 · 09:00A. Vasylets—1271111113M. Hubenko—14118672
WAug 8 · 13:30A. Vasylets—115711123M. Hubenko—311118102
WJul 30 · 16:00A. Vasylets—121111113M. Hubenko—1013641
LJul 18 · 17:03A. Vasylets—7880M. Hubenko—1111113
WJul 18 · 16:00A. Vasylets—81211113M. Hubenko—1110881
LJul 11 · 16:00A. Vasylets—117111272M. Hubenko—411914113
WJul 4 · 16:00A. Vasylets—791112113M. Hubenko—111151032
A. Vasylets10
LSep 5 · 16:30V. Tatarnykov1.50611118113A. Vasylets2.5011671162LSep 5 · 13:30A. Vasylets2.50411471S. Aristarkhov1.5011111113LSep 5 · 12:00A. Vasylets1.5011610101D. Kuzmenko2.5081112123WSep 2 · 11:30A. Vasylets2.0011119113O. Syksa1.73761191LSep 2 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.501211123A. Vasylets2.50108100WSep 2 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.50691151A. Vasylets1.5011115113LSep 2 · 06:30A. Vasylets1.44114127102D. Kuzmenko2.639111011123WSep 2 · 05:30O. Kurylenko3.75951151A. Vasylets1.2511117113WAug 30 · 17:43A. Vasylets2.631111113S. Aristarkhov1.447690WAug 30 · 16:30S. Aristarkhov1.4411129652A. Vasylets2.636101111113
M. Hubenko10
LSep 6 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov2.00812114133M. Hubenko1.731110911112WSep 6 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.831113113S. Aristarkhov1.8361160WSep 6 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.3011311113O. Lyman3.40411791WSep 6 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531211113D. Prylepa2.3810570WSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.5711911133O. Syksa2.256115111LSep 5 · 17:10M. Hubenko1.83121160S. Aristarkhov1.831413113WSep 5 · 16:00M. Hubenko1.28138611133D. Kuzmenko3.501111119112WSep 5 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov2.0010960M. Hubenko1.731211113LSep 5 · 12:30S. Aristarkhov1.836111112113M. Hubenko1.8311491442WSep 2 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.501211123A. Vasylets2.50108100
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