TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060355
Played Sep 2Finished
Oleksandr Ziakun
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611911115511––
Andrii Vasylets
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:53 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeAndrii Vasylets to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Ziakun above · Andrii Vasylets below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 69 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Andrii Vasylets at 65.7%
69 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ziakun 15–28 Andrii Vasylets Oleksandr Ziakun has won 15 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:53What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vasylets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-28 in 43
Vasylets
Correct
gap of 13 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1527 vs Vasylets 1696
Vasylets
Correct
both rated, 169 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 40% vs Vasylets 80%
Vasylets
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 50% vs Vasylets 90%
Vasylets
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun -1 · Vasylets -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Vasylets) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasylets form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 2.50 / Vasylets 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Vasylets)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13060355
Ziakun2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 94 of 263
Down 0–1, comes back21% 31 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 79
Vasylets1.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 28 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it77% 24 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun3wins
AwayVasylets7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVasylets leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun100%3 of 3
AwayVasylets100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun3Vasylets7n = 10Vasylets took 7 of 10
S2Ziakun1Vasylets9n = 10Vasylets took 9 of 10
S3Ziakun5Vasylets5n = 10split evenly
S4Ziakun4Vasylets3n = 7Ziakun took 4 of 7
S5Ziakun2Vasylets2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunVasyletsZ − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.740.3−3.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunVasyletsBasisWin rate · lifetime351 / 744 vs 240 / 52747.2%45.5%351 / 744 vs 240 / 527Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VasyletsZiakun 2.50/Vasylets 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Vasylets · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vasylets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 07:30O. Ziakun—691151A. Vasylets—11115113
LAug 26 · 09:00O. Ziakun—691181A. Vasylets—11117113
WAug 19 · 09:00O. Ziakun—14911113A. Vasylets—1211271
LJul 18 · 15:00O. Ziakun—91421192A. Vasylets—1112114113
LJun 20 · 14:30O. Ziakun—910100A. Vasylets—1112123
LMay 16 · 12:00O. Ziakun—79111112A. Vasylets—111187113
LMar 14 · 14:30O. Ziakun—71160A. Vasylets—1113113
LMar 7 · 17:00O. Ziakun—91060A. Vasylets—111293
WFeb 21 · 16:30O. Ziakun—118511113A. Vasylets—71111982
WFeb 14 · 13:30O. Ziakun—115131373A. Vasylets—711111542
O. Ziakun10
WSep 3 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.736121014113S. Maliuk2.001110121282WSep 3 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.571111113O. Lyman2.257760LSep 3 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.00118771O. Kurylenko1.7381111113WSep 3 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.441012118153S. Miroshnychenko2.631210711132LSep 3 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.107860D. Kuzmenko1.671111113LSep 2 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.638111151M. Hubenko1.4411139113LSep 2 · 09:00O. Ziakun2.10913881O. Kurylenko1.67111111113LSep 2 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.6371210121O. Syksa1.44111012143WSep 2 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.10111110113D. Kuzmenko1.67861251LAug 31 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.10471191D. Prylepa1.6711118113
A. Vasylets10
LSep 5 · 16:30V. Tatarnykov1.50611118113A. Vasylets2.5011671162LSep 5 · 15:00A. Vasylets2.38651171M. Hubenko1.5311118103LSep 5 · 13:30A. Vasylets2.50411471S. Aristarkhov1.5011111113LSep 5 · 12:00A. Vasylets1.5011610101D. Kuzmenko2.5081112123WSep 2 · 11:30A. Vasylets2.0011119113O. Syksa1.73761191LSep 2 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.501211123A. Vasylets2.50108100LSep 2 · 06:30A. Vasylets1.44114127102D. Kuzmenko2.639111011123WSep 2 · 05:30O. Kurylenko3.75951151A. Vasylets1.2511117113WAug 30 · 17:43A. Vasylets2.631111113S. Aristarkhov1.447690WAug 30 · 16:30S. Aristarkhov1.4411129652A. Vasylets2.636101111113
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