TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060371
Played Sep 2Finished
Oleksandr Ziakun
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181161012115––
Dmitro Kuzmenko
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmitro Kuzmenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Ziakun above · Dmitro Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 74 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Dmitro Kuzmenko at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ziakun 48–60 Dmitro Kuzmenko Oleksandr Ziakun has won 48 of their 108 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:54What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kuzmenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
48-60 in 108
Kuzmenko
Wrong
gap of 12 in 108, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1562 vs Kuzmenko 1507
Ziakun
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 40% vs Kuzmenko 80%
Kuzmenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 60% vs Kuzmenko 40%
Ziakun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun -2 · Kuzmenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kuzmenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 2.10 / Kuzmenko 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kuzmenko)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13060371
Ziakun2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 93 of 263
Down 0–1, comes back21% 31 of 151
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 81
Kuzmenko1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 96 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it91% 48 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it79% 72 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun6wins
AwayKuzmenko4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderZiakun leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun80%4 of 5
AwayKuzmenko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun5Kuzmenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Ziakun4Kuzmenko6n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S3Ziakun7Kuzmenko3n = 10Ziakun took 7 of 10
S4Ziakun4Kuzmenko5n = 9Kuzmenko took 5 of 9
S5Ziakun3Kuzmenko2n = 5Ziakun took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunKuzmenkoZ − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match45.446.1−0.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime349 / 739 vs 370 / 90647.2%40.8%349 / 739 vs 370 / 906Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.136.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmenkoZiakun 2.10/Kuzmenko 1.67
Miss
What we said
54%
Kuzmenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ziakun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 06:00O. Ziakun—81111123D. Kuzmenko—1199101
LAug 25 · 06:30O. Ziakun—55120D. Kuzmenko—1111143
WAug 21 · 07:30O. Ziakun—13711123D. Kuzmenko—11116101
LAug 17 · 06:30O. Ziakun—8412121D. Kuzmenko—111110143
LAug 14 · 08:30O. Ziakun—111171032D. Kuzmenko—991112113
WAug 11 · 07:30O. Ziakun—111216113D. Kuzmenko—8141491
WAug 10 · 06:30O. Ziakun—12111212133D. Kuzmenko—1451014112
LAug 6 · 06:00O. Ziakun—711119102D. Kuzmenko—118811123
WAug 3 · 11:30O. Ziakun—1610911133D. Kuzmenko—1412118112
WJul 30 · 06:00O. Ziakun—1111118113D. Kuzmenko—91361162
O. Ziakun10
WSep 3 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.736121014113S. Maliuk2.001110121282WSep 3 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.571111113O. Lyman2.257760LSep 3 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.00118771O. Kurylenko1.7381111113WSep 3 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.441012118153S. Miroshnychenko2.631210711132LSep 3 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.107860D. Kuzmenko1.671111113LSep 2 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.638111151M. Hubenko1.4411139113LSep 2 · 09:00O. Ziakun2.10913881O. Kurylenko1.67111111113LSep 2 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.50691151A. Vasylets1.5011115113LSep 2 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.6371210121O. Syksa1.44111012143LAug 31 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.10471191D. Prylepa1.6711118113
D. Kuzmenko10
WSep 7 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko1.831111113S. Maliuk1.839440LSep 7 · 07:00O. Syksa1.6711911113D. Kuzmenko2.10911861LSep 7 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.005670O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 5 · 17:39D. Kuzmenko3.401399101V. Tatarnykov1.30111111123LSep 5 · 16:00M. Hubenko1.28138611133D. Kuzmenko3.501111119112LSep 5 · 14:30S. Aristarkhov1.337111283D. Kuzmenko3.251141041WSep 5 · 13:00V. Tatarnykov1.307111071D. Kuzmenko3.4011412113WSep 5 · 12:00A. Vasylets1.5011610101D. Kuzmenko2.5081112123WSep 3 · 11:00O. Lyman3.258560D. Kuzmenko1.331111113WSep 3 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.107860D. Kuzmenko1.671111113
Upcoming Matches
O. Ziakun
Nothing scheduled
D. Kuzmenko
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