TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066910
Played Sep 3Finished
Oleksandr Ziakun
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117116––––
Oleksandr Lyman
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:29 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Ziakun to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Ziakun above · Oleksandr Lyman below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 53 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Oleksandr Ziakun at 63.3%
53 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ziakun 55–27 Oleksandr Lyman Oleksandr Lyman has won 27 of their 82 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:29What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Ziakun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
55-27 in 82
Ziakun
Correct
gap of 28 in 82, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1517 vs Lyman 1396
Ziakun
Correct
both rated, 122 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 20% vs Lyman 60%
Lyman
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 20% vs Lyman 60%
Lyman
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun -1 · Lyman +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Ziakun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lyman form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 1.57 / Lyman 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Ziakun)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13066910
Ziakun1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 77 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it86% 56 of 65
Lyman2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog28% won 56 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back15% 18 of 120
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun6wins
AwayLyman4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZiakun leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun100%4 of 4
AwayLyman66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun4Lyman6n = 10Lyman took 6 of 10
S2Ziakun8Lyman2n = 10Ziakun took 8 of 10
S3Ziakun4Lyman6n = 10Lyman took 6 of 10
S4Ziakun5Lyman4n = 9Ziakun took 5 of 9
S5Ziakun2Lyman1n = 3Ziakun took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunLymanZ − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.039.4+1.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunLymanBasisWin rate · lifetime350 / 744 vs 273 / 60447%45.2%350 / 744 vs 273 / 604Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZiakunZiakun 1.57/Lyman 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Ziakun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ziakun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 09:00O. Ziakun—1111113O. Lyman—7760
LAug 26 · 04:30O. Ziakun—10113101O. Lyman—12711123
WAug 25 · 04:30O. Ziakun—61111113O. Lyman—114461
LAug 19 · 06:00O. Ziakun—83111162O. Lyman—111177113
WJun 20 · 16:00O. Ziakun—121212113O. Lyman—10101481
WJun 18 · 04:30O. Ziakun—8121011113O. Lyman—111012772
WJun 17 · 07:30O. Ziakun—12611113O. Lyman—1011881
LJun 4 · 09:00O. Ziakun—10111071O. Lyman—12612113
WMay 29 · 06:00O. Ziakun—151196113O. Lyman—138111182
LMay 26 · 07:30O. Ziakun—711991O. Lyman—11911113
O. Ziakun10
WSep 3 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.736121014113S. Maliuk2.001110121282LSep 3 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.00118771O. Kurylenko1.7381111113WSep 3 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.441012118153S. Miroshnychenko2.631210711132LSep 3 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.107860D. Kuzmenko1.671111113LSep 2 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.638111151M. Hubenko1.4411139113LSep 2 · 09:00O. Ziakun2.10913881O. Kurylenko1.67111111113LSep 2 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.50691151A. Vasylets1.5011115113LSep 2 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.6371210121O. Syksa1.44111012143WSep 2 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.10111110113D. Kuzmenko1.67861251LAug 31 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.10471191D. Prylepa1.6711118113
O. Lyman10
LSep 6 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.3381111113O. Lyman3.25117881LSep 6 · 10:00O. Syksa1.2011136113O. Lyman4.338111141LSep 6 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.3011311113O. Lyman3.40411791LSep 6 · 06:30S. Aristarkhov1.1471512113O. Lyman5.0011131091WSep 6 · 04:30V. Tatarnykov1.14681111O. Lyman5.0011114113WSep 4 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.534860O. Lyman2.381111113LSep 4 · 10:00O. Lyman2.3851080S. Maliuk1.531112113LSep 4 · 08:00D. Prylepa1.3611611113O. Lyman3.00711651LSep 4 · 06:00O. Syksa1.251111113O. Lyman3.757780LSep 4 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.256121011113O. Lyman3.75111012892
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