TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072880
Played Sep 4Finished
Oleh Kurylenko
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411811611––––
Oleksandr Lyman
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:27 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeOleh Kurylenko to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleh Kurylenko above · Oleksandr Lyman below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 51 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Oleh Kurylenko at 58.9%
51 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kurylenko 48–30 Oleksandr Lyman Oleksandr Lyman has won 30 of their 78 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:27What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kurylenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
48-30 in 78
Kurylenko
Wrong
gap of 18 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurylenko 1516 vs Lyman 1357
Kurylenko
Wrong
both rated, 159 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurylenko 60% vs Lyman 0%
Kurylenko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurylenko 70% vs Lyman 20%
Kurylenko
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurylenko -1 · Lyman -5
Lyman
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Kurylenko) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lyman form (0%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurylenko 1.53 / Lyman 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Kurylenko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13072880
Kurylenko1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 159 of 261
Up 2–0, closes it92% 75 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it81% 112 of 139
Lyman2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog28% won 56 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back16% 19 of 120
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurylenko5wins
AwayLyman5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurylenko66.7%2 of 3
AwayLyman57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurylenko3Lyman7n = 10Lyman took 7 of 10
S2Kurylenko5Lyman5n = 10split evenly
S3Kurylenko5Lyman5n = 10split evenly
S4Kurylenko4Lyman2n = 6Kurylenko took 4 of 6
S5Kurylenko2Lyman2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurylenkoLymanK − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.439.7−0.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurylenkoLymanBasisWin rate · lifetime494 / 992 vs 273 / 60849.8%44.9%494 / 992 vs 273 / 608Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurylenkoKurylenko 1.53/Lyman 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64%
Kurylenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lyman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 17 · 05:30O. Kurylenko—1413113O. Lyman—121140
LJun 12 · 06:30O. Kurylenko—7570O. Lyman—1111113
LJun 10 · 09:30O. Kurylenko—10760O. Lyman—1211113
LJun 3 · 11:30O. Kurylenko—5680O. Lyman—1111113
LMay 30 · 12:00O. Kurylenko—710111182O. Lyman—111295113
WMay 29 · 11:30O. Kurylenko—8131311113O. Lyman—1111111342
WMay 26 · 05:30O. Kurylenko—111210113O. Lyman—6101271
LMay 20 · 08:30O. Kurylenko—111198112O. Lyman—591111133
WMay 18 · 06:00O. Kurylenko—121111123O. Lyman—1477101
WMay 15 · 11:30O. Kurylenko—8101112113O. Lyman—111291082
O. Kurylenko10
LSep 7 · 07:30D. Prylepa1.619111011113O. Kurylenko2.2011412842LSep 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.335580S. Chuhai1.201111113WSep 7 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.005670O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 4 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.361211118123O. Kurylenko3.00144511102WSep 4 · 07:30O. Syksa1.6741181182O. Kurylenko2.10116118113WSep 4 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.7351111113S. Maliuk2.00117781WSep 4 · 05:30D. Prylepa1.61311951O. Kurylenko2.2011911113LSep 3 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.4429140S. Miroshnychenko2.631111163WSep 3 · 09:30S. Maliuk2.008780O. Kurylenko1.731111113WSep 3 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.00118771O. Kurylenko1.7381111113
O. Lyman10
LSep 6 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.3381111113O. Lyman3.25117881LSep 6 · 10:00O. Syksa1.2011136113O. Lyman4.338111141LSep 6 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.3011311113O. Lyman3.40411791LSep 6 · 06:30S. Aristarkhov1.1471512113O. Lyman5.0011131091WSep 6 · 04:30V. Tatarnykov1.14681111O. Lyman5.0011114113LSep 4 · 10:00O. Lyman2.3851080S. Maliuk1.531112113LSep 4 · 08:00D. Prylepa1.3611611113O. Lyman3.00711651LSep 4 · 06:00O. Syksa1.251111113O. Lyman3.757780LSep 4 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.256121011113O. Lyman3.75111012892LSep 3 · 11:00O. Lyman3.258560D. Kuzmenko1.331111113
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