TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072881
Played Sep 4Finished
Oleksandr Syksa
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411116811118811
Oleh Kurylenko
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:28 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Syksa above · Oleh Kurylenko below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 89 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 57.4%
89 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Syksa 86–62 Oleh Kurylenko Oleh Kurylenko has won 62 of their 148 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:28What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Syksa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
86-62 in 148
Syksa
Wrong
gap of 24 in 148, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syksa 1560 vs Kurylenko 1496
Syksa
Wrong
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syksa 60% vs Kurylenko 80%
Kurylenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syksa 80% vs Kurylenko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Syksa +1 · Kurylenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Syksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurylenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyksa 1.67 / Kurylenko 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Syksa)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13072881
Syksa1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 229 of 334
Up 2–0, closes it94% 92 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it82% 153 of 187
Kurylenko2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 70 of 226
Down 0–1, comes back16% 23 of 143
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyksa5wins
AwayKurylenko5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyksa71.4%5 of 7
AwayKurylenko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syksa7Kurylenko3n = 10Syksa took 7 of 10
S2Syksa3Kurylenko7n = 10Kurylenko took 7 of 10
S3Syksa5Kurylenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Syksa6Kurylenko3n = 9Syksa took 6 of 9
S5Syksa2Kurylenko3n = 5Kurylenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyksaKurylenkoS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.741.5−1.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyksaKurylenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime572 / 1098 vs 492 / 98852.1%49.8%572 / 1098 vs 492 / 988Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaSyksa 1.67/Kurylenko 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.4%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kurylenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 07:30O. Syksa—41181182O. Kurylenko—116118113
WSep 2 · 08:00O. Syksa—119111113O. Kurylenko—81111862
LAug 27 · 11:00O. Syksa—119114112O. Kurylenko—811811133
LAug 24 · 07:30O. Syksa—791471O. Kurylenko—111112113
WAug 21 · 11:00O. Syksa—118911113O. Kurylenko—91111942
LAug 18 · 08:00O. Syksa—111471O. Kurylenko—91111113
WAug 17 · 09:00O. Syksa—1111113O. Kurylenko—7950
WAug 13 · 09:30O. Syksa—11511133O. Kurylenko—9114111
WAug 10 · 07:00O. Syksa—11129113O. Kurylenko—9101171
LAug 4 · 05:30O. Syksa—83111172O. Kurylenko—111188113
O. Syksa10
WSep 7 · 07:00O. Syksa1.6711911113D. Kuzmenko2.10911861WSep 7 · 05:00O. Syksa1.611110911113S. Maliuk2.2051211972WSep 6 · 11:30S. Aristarkhov1.6111971142O. Syksa2.2031111373WSep 6 · 10:00O. Syksa1.2011136113O. Lyman4.338111141WSep 6 · 08:00D. Prylepa2.50111301162O. Syksa1.50215116113LSep 6 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov1.5311118113O. Syksa2.38881151LSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.5711911133O. Syksa2.256115111LSep 4 · 10:30O. Syksa2.50611691M. Hubenko1.5011611113WSep 4 · 09:00O. Syksa1.4411117123D. Prylepa2.638911101WSep 4 · 06:00O. Syksa1.251111113O. Lyman3.757780
O. Kurylenko10
LSep 7 · 07:30D. Prylepa1.619111011113O. Kurylenko2.2011412842LSep 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.335580S. Chuhai1.201111113WSep 7 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.005670O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 4 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.534860O. Lyman2.381111113LSep 4 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.361211118123O. Kurylenko3.00144511102WSep 4 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.7351111113S. Maliuk2.00117781WSep 4 · 05:30D. Prylepa1.61311951O. Kurylenko2.2011911113LSep 3 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.4429140S. Miroshnychenko2.631111163WSep 3 · 09:30S. Maliuk2.008780O. Kurylenko1.731111113WSep 3 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.00118771O. Kurylenko1.7381111113
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