TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089144
Played Sep 7Finished
Dmytro Prylepa
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111141012118114
Oleh Kurylenko
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:10 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeDmytro Prylepa to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Prylepa above · Oleh Kurylenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 91 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Dmytro Prylepa at 58.1%
91 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Prylepa 73–44 Oleh Kurylenko Oleh Kurylenko has won 44 of their 117 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:10What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Prylepa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
73-44 in 117
Prylepa
Correct
gap of 29 in 117, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prylepa 1508 vs Kurylenko 1495
Prylepa
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prylepa 40% vs Kurylenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prylepa 30% vs Kurylenko 60%
Kurylenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prylepa -2 · Kurylenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Prylepa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prylepa form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrylepa 1.61 / Kurylenko 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Prylepa)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13089144
Prylepa1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 135 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it99% 66 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it87% 111 of 128
Kurylenko2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 68 of 223
Down 0–1, comes back16% 23 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrylepa6wins
AwayKurylenko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPrylepa leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrylepa80%4 of 5
AwayKurylenko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prylepa5Kurylenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Prylepa7Kurylenko3n = 10Prylepa took 7 of 10
S3Prylepa4Kurylenko6n = 10Kurylenko took 6 of 10
S4Prylepa5Kurylenko3n = 8Prylepa took 5 of 8
S5Prylepa2Kurylenko1n = 3Prylepa took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrylepaKurylenkoP − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.137.1+3.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrylepaKurylenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime395 / 801 vs 493 / 99149.3%49.8%395 / 801 vs 493 / 991Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrylepaPrylepa 1.61/Kurylenko 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Prylepa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Prylepa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 07:30D. Prylepa—9111011113O. Kurylenko—11412842
LSep 4 · 05:30D. Prylepa—311951O. Kurylenko—11911113
LAug 31 · 05:00D. Prylepa—1017581O. Kurylenko—121511113
WAug 24 · 09:30D. Prylepa—11119113O. Kurylenko—881151
WAug 18 · 07:00D. Prylepa—111012113O. Kurylenko—7121081
WAug 13 · 05:30D. Prylepa—1111113O. Kurylenko—5880
WAug 5 · 07:00D. Prylepa—1012511113O. Kurylenko—121011362
LAug 3 · 11:00D. Prylepa—73111182O. Kurylenko—111158113
LJul 29 · 07:00D. Prylepa—1389101O. Kurylenko—111111123
WJul 27 · 09:30D. Prylepa—1111113O. Kurylenko—5760
D. Prylepa10
LSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.61115551S. Maliuk2.2091111113LSep 7 · 04:30D. Prylepa3.00119471S. Chuhai1.3691111113WSep 6 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.3381111113O. Lyman3.25117881WSep 6 · 09:00V. Tatarnykov1.5011116762D. Prylepa2.50791111113LSep 6 · 08:00D. Prylepa2.50111301162O. Syksa1.50215116113LSep 6 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531211113D. Prylepa2.3810570LSep 6 · 05:30D. Prylepa2.6331141172S. Aristarkhov1.44118117113LSep 4 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.5767111192S. Maliuk2.25111168113LSep 4 · 09:00O. Syksa1.4411117123D. Prylepa2.638911101WSep 4 · 08:00D. Prylepa1.3611611113O. Lyman3.00711651
O. Kurylenko10
LSep 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.335580S. Chuhai1.201111113WSep 7 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.005670O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 4 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.534860O. Lyman2.381111113LSep 4 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.361211118123O. Kurylenko3.00144511102WSep 4 · 07:30O. Syksa1.6741181182O. Kurylenko2.10116118113WSep 4 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.7351111113S. Maliuk2.00117781WSep 4 · 05:30D. Prylepa1.61311951O. Kurylenko2.2011911113LSep 3 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.4429140S. Miroshnychenko2.631111163WSep 3 · 09:30S. Maliuk2.008780O. Kurylenko1.731111113WSep 3 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.00118771O. Kurylenko1.7381111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.