TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089025
Played Sep 7Finished
Dmytro Prylepa
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119511511511––
Serhii Maliuk
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:43 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeDmytro Prylepa to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDmytro Prylepa above · Serhii Maliuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 68 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Dmytro Prylepa at 58.1%
68 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Prylepa 23–16 Serhii Maliuk Serhii Maliuk has won 16 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:43What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Prylepa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-16 in 39
Prylepa
Wrong
gap of 7 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prylepa 1497 vs Maliuk 1486
Prylepa
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prylepa 40% vs Maliuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prylepa 30% vs Maliuk 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prylepa -1 · Maliuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Prylepa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prylepa form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrylepa 1.61 / Maliuk 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Prylepa)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13089025
Prylepa1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 135 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it99% 66 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it87% 111 of 128
Maliuk2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 88 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back18% 21 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrylepa6wins
AwayMaliuk4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPrylepa leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrylepa71.4%5 of 7
AwayMaliuk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prylepa7Maliuk3n = 10Prylepa took 7 of 10
S2Prylepa4Maliuk6n = 10Maliuk took 6 of 10
S3Prylepa4Maliuk6n = 10Maliuk took 6 of 10
S4Prylepa4Maliuk4n = 8split evenly
S5Prylepa3Maliuk1n = 4Prylepa took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrylepaMaliukP − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.539.8−2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrylepaMaliukBasisWin rate · lifetime395 / 801 vs 240 / 48449.3%49.6%395 / 801 vs 240 / 484Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrylepaPrylepa 1.61/Maliuk 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Prylepa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Maliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa—115551S. Maliuk—91111113
LSep 4 · 11:00D. Prylepa—67111192S. Maliuk—111168113
WAug 20 · 07:00D. Prylepa—51111123S. Maliuk—1199101
WAug 18 · 08:30D. Prylepa—115119113S. Maliuk—71151192
LAug 13 · 11:00D. Prylepa—6590S. Maliuk—1111113
WAug 12 · 08:30D. Prylepa—1110511113S. Maliuk—91211882
WAug 5 · 05:00D. Prylepa—1111143S. Maliuk—77120
WJul 29 · 09:30D. Prylepa—11115113S. Maliuk—981171
LJul 21 · 10:30D. Prylepa—116661S. Maliuk—61111113
WJul 16 · 07:00D. Prylepa—111169113S. Maliuk—78111192
D. Prylepa10
LSep 7 · 04:30D. Prylepa3.00119471S. Chuhai1.3691111113WSep 6 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.3381111113O. Lyman3.25117881WSep 6 · 09:00V. Tatarnykov1.5011116762D. Prylepa2.50791111113LSep 6 · 08:00D. Prylepa2.50111301162O. Syksa1.50215116113LSep 6 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531211113D. Prylepa2.3810570LSep 6 · 05:30D. Prylepa2.6331141172S. Aristarkhov1.44118117113LSep 4 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.5767111192S. Maliuk2.25111168113LSep 4 · 09:00O. Syksa1.4411117123D. Prylepa2.638911101WSep 4 · 08:00D. Prylepa1.3611611113O. Lyman3.00711651LSep 4 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531181110133D. Prylepa2.38911512112
S. Maliuk10
LSep 7 · 05:00O. Syksa1.611110911113S. Maliuk2.2051211972WSep 4 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.5767111192S. Maliuk2.25111168113WSep 4 · 10:00O. Lyman2.3851080S. Maliuk1.531112113LSep 4 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.531111113S. Maliuk2.388690LSep 4 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.7351111113S. Maliuk2.00117781WSep 4 · 04:30O. Syksa1.57117121162S. Maliuk2.25811149113LSep 3 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.736121014113S. Maliuk2.001110121282LSep 3 · 09:30S. Maliuk2.008780O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 3 · 08:30S. Maliuk1.8311711462D. Kuzmenko1.83511511113LSep 3 · 07:00S. Maliuk1.531110671O. Lyman2.3861211113
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