TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072940
Played Sep 4Finished
Maksym Hubenko
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116119––––
Serhii Maliuk
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:40 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Hubenko above · Serhii Maliuk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 56 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 64.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Hubenko 22–13 Serhii Maliuk Serhii Maliuk has won 13 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:40What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Hubenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-13 in 35
Hubenko
Correct
gap of 9 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hubenko 1707 vs Maliuk 1457
Hubenko
Correct
both rated, 250 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hubenko 80% vs Maliuk 20%
Hubenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hubenko 80% vs Maliuk 50%
Hubenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hubenko +4 · Maliuk -1
Hubenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Hubenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maliuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubenko 1.53 / Maliuk 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Hubenko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13072940
Hubenko1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 235 of 320
Up 2–0, closes it94% 118 of 125
Up 1–0, closes it84% 163 of 195
Maliuk2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 86 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back17% 20 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHubenko4wins
AwayMaliuk6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMaliuk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHubenko60%3 of 5
AwayMaliuk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hubenko5Maliuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Hubenko4Maliuk6n = 10Maliuk took 6 of 10
S3Hubenko8Maliuk2n = 10Hubenko took 8 of 10
S4Hubenko1Maliuk7n = 8Maliuk took 7 of 8
S5Hubenko2Maliuk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHubenkoMaliukH − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.941.3−1.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubenkoMaliukBasisWin rate · lifetime539 / 1018 vs 240 / 48553%49.5%539 / 1018 vs 240 / 485Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoHubenko 1.53/Maliuk 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 08:00M. Hubenko—1110149112S. Maliuk—2121211133
WAug 19 · 08:30M. Hubenko—119119113S. Maliuk—71181182
LAug 13 · 10:00M. Hubenko—91311272S. Maliuk—1111711113
WAug 12 · 04:30M. Hubenko—1117113S. Maliuk—61590
LAug 5 · 06:00M. Hubenko—11141031S. Maliuk—41612113
LAug 4 · 08:30M. Hubenko—513821S. Maliuk—111111113
LJul 29 · 06:30M. Hubenko—891141S. Maliuk—11119113
WJul 22 · 05:30M. Hubenko—1111113S. Maliuk—7790
WJul 13 · 09:00M. Hubenko—841111113S. Maliuk—11119842
LJun 11 · 10:00M. Hubenko—1181161S. Maliuk—13117113
M. Hubenko10
LSep 6 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov2.00812114133M. Hubenko1.731110911112WSep 6 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.831113113S. Aristarkhov1.8361160WSep 6 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.3011311113O. Lyman3.40411791WSep 6 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531211113D. Prylepa2.3810570WSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.5711911133O. Syksa2.256115111LSep 5 · 17:10M. Hubenko1.83121160S. Aristarkhov1.831413113WSep 5 · 16:00M. Hubenko1.28138611133D. Kuzmenko3.501111119112WSep 5 · 15:00A. Vasylets2.38651171M. Hubenko1.5311118103WSep 5 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov2.0010960M. Hubenko1.731211113LSep 5 · 12:30S. Aristarkhov1.836111112113M. Hubenko1.8311491442
S. Maliuk10
WSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.61115551S. Maliuk2.2091111113LSep 7 · 05:00O. Syksa1.611110911113S. Maliuk2.2051211972WSep 4 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.5767111192S. Maliuk2.25111168113WSep 4 · 10:00O. Lyman2.3851080S. Maliuk1.531112113LSep 4 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.7351111113S. Maliuk2.00117781WSep 4 · 04:30O. Syksa1.57117121162S. Maliuk2.25811149113LSep 3 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.736121014113S. Maliuk2.001110121282LSep 3 · 09:30S. Maliuk2.008780O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 3 · 08:30S. Maliuk1.8311711462D. Kuzmenko1.83511511113LSep 3 · 07:00S. Maliuk1.531110671O. Lyman2.3861211113
Upcoming Matches
M. Hubenko
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S. Maliuk
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