TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066856
Played Sep 3Finished
Serhii Maliuk
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1161012611711––
Oleksandr Lyman
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 64.4% is still 64.4%
Graded at full timeSerhii Maliuk to win
64.4%
64.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Maliuk above · Oleksandr Lyman below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 74 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Serhii Maliuk at 64.4%
74 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Maliuk 40–25 Oleksandr Lyman Oleksandr Lyman has won 25 of their 65 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:09What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Maliuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-25 in 65
Maliuk
Wrong
gap of 15 in 65, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maliuk 1481 vs Lyman 1378
Maliuk
Wrong
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maliuk 80% vs Lyman 40%
Maliuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maliuk 70% vs Lyman 50%
Maliuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maliuk +4 · Lyman -2
Maliuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Maliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maliuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaliuk 1.53 / Lyman 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Maliuk)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13066856
Maliuk1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 64 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it76% 47 of 62
Lyman2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog27% won 57 of 209
Down 0–1, comes back15% 19 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaliuk7wins
AwayLyman3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMaliuk leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaliuk77.8%7 of 9
AwayLymann = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maliuk9Lyman1n = 10Maliuk took 9 of 10
S2Maliuk7Lyman3n = 10Maliuk took 7 of 10
S3Maliuk5Lyman5n = 10split evenly
S4Maliuk3Lyman2n = 5Maliuk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaliukLymanM − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match39.231.7+7.5per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaliukLymanBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 486 vs 274 / 60949.8%45%242 / 486 vs 274 / 609Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaliukMaliuk 1.53/Lyman 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.4%
Maliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lyman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 10:00S. Maliuk—1112113O. Lyman—51080
LSep 3 · 07:00S. Maliuk—1110671O. Lyman—61211113
WSep 1 · 10:30S. Maliuk—1111113O. Lyman—7750
LAug 27 · 10:30S. Maliuk—911981O. Lyman—11711113
WAug 26 · 08:30S. Maliuk—1111143O. Lyman—57120
WAug 25 · 06:00S. Maliuk—119811113O. Lyman—61111772
WAug 20 · 09:00S. Maliuk—121112113O. Lyman—1071471
WAug 19 · 10:00S. Maliuk—1117113O. Lyman—41590
WJun 11 · 04:30S. Maliuk—1111113O. Lyman—2950
LJun 10 · 10:30S. Maliuk—111091192O. Lyman—712116113
S. Maliuk10
WSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.61115551S. Maliuk2.2091111113LSep 7 · 05:00O. Syksa1.611110911113S. Maliuk2.2051211972WSep 4 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.5767111192S. Maliuk2.25111168113WSep 4 · 10:00O. Lyman2.3851080S. Maliuk1.531112113LSep 4 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.531111113S. Maliuk2.388690LSep 4 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.7351111113S. Maliuk2.00117781WSep 4 · 04:30O. Syksa1.57117121162S. Maliuk2.25811149113LSep 3 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.736121014113S. Maliuk2.001110121282LSep 3 · 09:30S. Maliuk2.008780O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 3 · 08:30S. Maliuk1.8311711462D. Kuzmenko1.83511511113
O. Lyman10
LSep 6 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.3381111113O. Lyman3.25117881LSep 6 · 10:00O. Syksa1.2011136113O. Lyman4.338111141LSep 6 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.3011311113O. Lyman3.40411791LSep 6 · 06:30S. Aristarkhov1.1471512113O. Lyman5.0011131091WSep 6 · 04:30V. Tatarnykov1.14681111O. Lyman5.0011114113WSep 4 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.534860O. Lyman2.381111113LSep 4 · 10:00O. Lyman2.3851080S. Maliuk1.531112113LSep 4 · 08:00D. Prylepa1.3611611113O. Lyman3.00711651LSep 4 · 06:00O. Syksa1.251111113O. Lyman3.757780LSep 4 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.256121011113O. Lyman3.75111012892
Upcoming Matches
S. Maliuk
O. Lyman
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.