TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066860
Played Sep 3Finished
Oleksandr Ziakun
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611121010121412118
Serhii Maliuk
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Ziakun to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Ziakun above · Serhii Maliuk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 106 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Oleksandr Ziakun at 54.0%
106 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ziakun 36–35 Serhii Maliuk Serhii Maliuk has won 35 of their 71 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:08What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ziakun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-35 in 71
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1527 vs Maliuk 1460
Ziakun
Correct
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 40% vs Maliuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 30% vs Maliuk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun +1 · Maliuk -3
Maliuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Ziakun) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ziakun form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 1.73 / Maliuk 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Ziakun)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13066860
Ziakun1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 77 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it86% 56 of 65
Maliuk2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 86 of 206
Down 0–1, comes back17% 20 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun5wins
AwayMaliuk5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun100%4 of 4
AwayMaliuk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun4Maliuk6n = 10Maliuk took 6 of 10
S2Ziakun6Maliuk4n = 10Ziakun took 6 of 10
S3Ziakun4Maliuk6n = 10Maliuk took 6 of 10
S4Ziakun4Maliuk4n = 8split evenly
S5Ziakun2Maliuk1n = 3Ziakun took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunMaliukZ − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.440.3−0.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunMaliukBasisWin rate · lifetime351 / 744 vs 239 / 48247.2%49.6%351 / 744 vs 239 / 482Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZiakunZiakun 1.73/Maliuk 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Ziakun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ziakun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 10:30O. Ziakun—6121014113S. Maliuk—1110121282
LAug 26 · 10:30O. Ziakun—671391S. Maliuk—111111113
WAug 25 · 10:00O. Ziakun—11119113S. Maliuk—791191
LAug 19 · 04:30O. Ziakun—881171S. Maliuk—11118113
WAug 14 · 05:00O. Ziakun—13118123S. Maliuk—11511101
WAug 13 · 04:30O. Ziakun—1111113S. Maliuk—8950
LAug 6 · 10:30O. Ziakun—8840S. Maliuk—1111113
WAug 4 · 04:30O. Ziakun—116119123S. Maliuk—911511102
LJul 30 · 04:30O. Ziakun—81481172S. Maliuk—1112115113
LJul 28 · 04:30O. Ziakun—7111171S. Maliuk—11613113
O. Ziakun10
WSep 3 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.571111113O. Lyman2.257760LSep 3 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.00118771O. Kurylenko1.7381111113WSep 3 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.441012118153S. Miroshnychenko2.631210711132LSep 3 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.107860D. Kuzmenko1.671111113LSep 2 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.638111151M. Hubenko1.4411139113LSep 2 · 09:00O. Ziakun2.10913881O. Kurylenko1.67111111113LSep 2 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.50691151A. Vasylets1.5011115113LSep 2 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.6371210121O. Syksa1.44111012143WSep 2 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.10111110113D. Kuzmenko1.67861251LAug 31 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.10471191D. Prylepa1.6711118113
S. Maliuk10
WSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.61115551S. Maliuk2.2091111113LSep 7 · 05:00O. Syksa1.611110911113S. Maliuk2.2051211972WSep 4 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.5767111192S. Maliuk2.25111168113WSep 4 · 10:00O. Lyman2.3851080S. Maliuk1.531112113LSep 4 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.531111113S. Maliuk2.388690LSep 4 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.7351111113S. Maliuk2.00117781WSep 4 · 04:30O. Syksa1.57117121162S. Maliuk2.25811149113LSep 3 · 09:30S. Maliuk2.008780O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 3 · 08:30S. Maliuk1.8311711462D. Kuzmenko1.83511511113LSep 3 · 07:00S. Maliuk1.531110671O. Lyman2.3861211113
Upcoming Matches
O. Ziakun
Nothing scheduled
S. Maliuk
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.