TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066848
Played Sep 3Finished
Oleksandr Ziakun
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
101212101178111513
Serhii Miroshnychenko
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Ziakun to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Ziakun above · Serhii Miroshnychenko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 15-13
Point 109 set 5, 15-13 — our read held Oleksandr Ziakun at 68.9%
109 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ziakun 74–28 Serhii Miroshnychenko Serhii Miroshnychenko has won 28 of their 102 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:09What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Ziakun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
74-28 in 102
Ziakun
Correct
gap of 46 in 102, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1527 vs Miroshnychenko 1356
Ziakun
Correct
both rated, 170 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 0% vs Miroshnychenko 60%
Miroshnychenko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 30% vs Miroshnychenko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun -5 · Miroshnychenko -1
Ziakun
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Ziakun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miroshnychenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 1.44 / Miroshnychenko 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Ziakun)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13066848
Ziakun1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite68% won 79 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it86% 56 of 65
Miroshnychenko2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog25% won 85 of 345
Down 0–1, comes back13% 29 of 217
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun9wins
AwayMiroshnychenko1wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZiakun leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun100%5 of 5
AwayMiroshnychenko20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun5Miroshnychenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Ziakun8Miroshnychenko2n = 10Ziakun took 8 of 10
S3Ziakun6Miroshnychenko4n = 10Ziakun took 6 of 10
S4Ziakun5Miroshnychenko3n = 8Ziakun took 5 of 8
S5Ziakun4Miroshnychenko0n = 4Ziakun took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunMiroshnychenkoZ − MBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.737.4+6.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunMiroshnychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime351 / 743 vs 304 / 86247.2%35.3%351 / 743 vs 304 / 862Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match39.134.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZiakunZiakun 1.44/Miroshnychenko 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Ziakun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ziakun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 06:00O. Ziakun—1012118153S. Miroshnychenko—1210711132
WAug 23 · 08:30O. Ziakun—1111911113S. Miroshnychenko—13711772
WAug 21 · 06:00O. Ziakun—119118113S. Miroshnychenko—51181142
WAug 14 · 10:30O. Ziakun—61111113S. Miroshnychenko—117381
WAug 11 · 04:30O. Ziakun—1111113S. Miroshnychenko—8570
LAug 10 · 04:30O. Ziakun—8111081S. Miroshnychenko—11612113
WAug 6 · 09:00O. Ziakun—1111153S. Miroshnychenko—86130
WAug 4 · 06:00O. Ziakun—81511113S. Miroshnychenko—1113991
WJul 30 · 09:00O. Ziakun—127811113S. Miroshnychenko—101111472
WJul 28 · 06:00O. Ziakun—11115113S. Miroshnychenko—981181
O. Ziakun10
WSep 3 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.736121014113S. Maliuk2.001110121282WSep 3 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.571111113O. Lyman2.257760LSep 3 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.00118771O. Kurylenko1.7381111113LSep 3 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.107860D. Kuzmenko1.671111113LSep 2 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.638111151M. Hubenko1.4411139113LSep 2 · 09:00O. Ziakun2.10913881O. Kurylenko1.67111111113LSep 2 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.50691151A. Vasylets1.5011115113LSep 2 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.6371210121O. Syksa1.44111012143WSep 2 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.10111110113D. Kuzmenko1.67861251LAug 31 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.10471191D. Prylepa1.6711118113
S. Miroshnychenko10
WSep 3 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.4429140S. Miroshnychenko2.631111163LSep 3 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko2.384630D. Kuzmenko1.531111113LSep 3 · 08:00O. Lyman1.36711146163S. Miroshnychenko3.001151211142LSep 3 · 05:00S. Maliuk1.4011812113S. Miroshnychenko2.756111081WSep 2 · 17:39S. Miroshnychenko1.20111110113I. Torhachov4.33381251WSep 2 · 16:00R. Boklah4.00912113112S. Miroshnychenko1.221110811133WSep 2 · 14:30V. Ziakun3.25137981S. Miroshnychenko1.33111111113LSep 2 · 13:00I. Torhachov5.00111176113S. Miroshnychenko1.1465111172WSep 2 · 12:00S. Priadko4.504590S. Miroshnychenko1.171111113LSep 1 · 11:00S. Miroshnychenko3.251011491O. Syksa1.3312811113
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