TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067025
Played Sep 3Finished
Oleksandr Lyman
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
71111514126111614
Serhii Miroshnychenko
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:09 and never touched — 72.3% is still 72.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Lyman to win
72.3%
72.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Lyman above · Serhii Miroshnychenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 16-14
Point 107 set 5, 16-14 — our read held Oleksandr Lyman at 72.3%
107 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Lyman 66–13 Serhii Miroshnychenko Serhii Miroshnychenko has won 13 of their 79 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:09What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Lyman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
66-13 in 79
Lyman
Correct
gap of 53 in 79, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lyman 1396 vs Miroshnychenko 1352
Lyman
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lyman 40% vs Miroshnychenko 60%
Miroshnychenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lyman 50% vs Miroshnychenko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lyman +1 · Miroshnychenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Lyman) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miroshnychenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLyman 1.36 / Miroshnychenko 3.00
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Lyman)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13067025
Lyman1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 30 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it83% 19 of 23
Miroshnychenko3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog25% won 84 of 340
Down 0–1, comes back14% 29 of 215
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 119
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLyman8wins
AwayMiroshnychenko2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLyman leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLyman83.3%5 of 6
AwayMiroshnychenko25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lyman6Miroshnychenko4n = 10Lyman took 6 of 10
S2Lyman4Miroshnychenko6n = 10Miroshnychenko took 6 of 10
S3Lyman7Miroshnychenko3n = 10Lyman took 7 of 10
S4Lyman6Miroshnychenko2n = 8Lyman took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLymanMiroshnychenkoL − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.133.5+5.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLymanMiroshnychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime273 / 604 vs 306 / 86545.2%35.4%273 / 604 vs 306 / 865Avg sets wonper match1.91.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.634.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LymanLyman 1.36/Miroshnychenko 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.1%
Lyman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lyman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 07:00O. Lyman—11611113S. Miroshnychenko—611681
WAug 20 · 04:30O. Lyman—11511113S. Miroshnychenko—611591
LJun 18 · 10:00O. Lyman—8790S. Miroshnychenko—1111113
WJun 17 · 06:30O. Lyman—11911113S. Miroshnychenko—911781
WJun 15 · 09:00O. Lyman—611711113S. Miroshnychenko—11511882
WJun 12 · 10:00O. Lyman—611116113S. Miroshnychenko—11671172
WJun 11 · 09:00O. Lyman—1111113S. Miroshnychenko—8460
WJun 10 · 05:00O. Lyman—11811113S. Miroshnychenko—711491
LJun 4 · 05:30O. Lyman—1113881S. Miroshnychenko—51511113
WJun 3 · 10:00O. Lyman—101111113S. Miroshnychenko—127641
O. Lyman10
LSep 6 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.3381111113O. Lyman3.25117881LSep 6 · 10:00O. Syksa1.2011136113O. Lyman4.338111141LSep 6 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.3011311113O. Lyman3.40411791LSep 6 · 06:30S. Aristarkhov1.1471512113O. Lyman5.0011131091WSep 6 · 04:30V. Tatarnykov1.14681111O. Lyman5.0011114113WSep 4 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.534860O. Lyman2.381111113LSep 4 · 10:00O. Lyman2.3851080S. Maliuk1.531112113LSep 4 · 08:00D. Prylepa1.3611611113O. Lyman3.00711651LSep 4 · 06:00O. Syksa1.251111113O. Lyman3.757780LSep 4 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.256121011113O. Lyman3.75111012892
S. Miroshnychenko10
WSep 3 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.4429140S. Miroshnychenko2.631111163LSep 3 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko2.384630D. Kuzmenko1.531111113LSep 3 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.441012118153S. Miroshnychenko2.631210711132LSep 3 · 05:00S. Maliuk1.4011812113S. Miroshnychenko2.756111081WSep 2 · 17:39S. Miroshnychenko1.20111110113I. Torhachov4.33381251WSep 2 · 16:00R. Boklah4.00912113112S. Miroshnychenko1.221110811133WSep 2 · 14:30V. Ziakun3.25137981S. Miroshnychenko1.33111111113LSep 2 · 13:00I. Torhachov5.00111176113S. Miroshnychenko1.1465111172WSep 2 · 12:00S. Priadko4.504590S. Miroshnychenko1.171111113LSep 1 · 11:00S. Miroshnychenko3.251011491O. Syksa1.3312811113
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