TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060631
Played Sep 2Finished
Viktor Ziakun
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1311711911811––
Serhii Miroshnychenko
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:03 and never touched — 74.4% is still 74.4%
Graded at full timeSerhii Miroshnychenko to win
74.4%
74.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Ziakun above · Serhii Miroshnychenko below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 81 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Serhii Miroshnychenko at 74.4%
81 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Ziakun 2–37 Serhii Miroshnychenko Viktor Ziakun has won 2 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Miroshnychenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-37 in 39
Miroshnychenko
Correct
gap of 35 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1330 vs Miroshnychenko 1350
Miroshnychenko
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 20% vs Miroshnychenko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 20% vs Miroshnychenko 50%
Miroshnychenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun +1 · Miroshnychenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Miroshnychenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miroshnychenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 3.25 / Miroshnychenko 1.33
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Miroshnychenko)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13060631
Ziakun3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog26% won 22 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back16% 7 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Miroshnychenko1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite82% won 40 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it88% 29 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun0wins
AwayMiroshnychenko10wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMiroshnychenko leads 10–0, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun0%0 of 3
AwayMiroshnychenko100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun3Miroshnychenko7n = 10Miroshnychenko took 7 of 10
S2Ziakun2Miroshnychenko8n = 10Miroshnychenko took 8 of 10
S3Ziakun1Miroshnychenko9n = 10Miroshnychenko took 9 of 10
S4Ziakun1Miroshnychenko4n = 5Miroshnychenko took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunMiroshnychenkoZ − MBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match28.237.7−9.5per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunMiroshnychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime374 / 626 vs 304 / 86159.7%35.3%374 / 626 vs 304 / 861Avg sets wonper match2.21.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.634.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MiroshnychenkoZiakun 3.25/Miroshnychenko 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.4%
Miroshnychenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Miroshnychenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 28 · 08:00V. Ziakun—711871S. Miroshnychenko—11511113
LJul 24 · 15:00V. Ziakun—46100S. Miroshnychenko—1111123
LJul 21 · 11:00V. Ziakun—11781192S. Miroshnychenko—611119113
LJul 19 · 17:33V. Ziakun—11111862S. Miroshnychenko—711711113
LJul 19 · 12:00V. Ziakun—1011791S. Miroshnychenko—12611113
LJul 17 · 17:33V. Ziakun—8670S. Miroshnychenko—1111113
LJul 17 · 15:00V. Ziakun—7740S. Miroshnychenko—1111103
LJul 14 · 11:30V. Ziakun—8390S. Miroshnychenko—1111113
LJul 8 · 08:30V. Ziakun—114661S. Miroshnychenko—61111113
LJul 5 · 17:29V. Ziakun—7880S. Miroshnychenko—1111113
V. Ziakun10
WSep 6 · 17:29R. Boklah4.508680V. Ziakun1.171111113LSep 6 · 16:30I. Serdiuk2.7511116113V. Ziakun1.40631141WSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun1.33111191093S. Priadko3.2557111262WSep 6 · 13:30V. Ziakun1.441311833I. Torhachov2.631141121WSep 6 · 12:00V. Ziakun1.171111113R. Boklah4.504680WSep 2 · 17:10V. Ziakun1.3311115123S. Priadko3.257711101WSep 2 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.637790V. Ziakun1.441111113WSep 2 · 13:30S. Priadko3.251112951V. Ziakun1.3351411113LSep 2 · 12:30V. Ziakun1.1491111982R. Boklah5.00115411113LSep 1 · 11:30V. Ziakun3.403880D. Kuzmenko1.301111113
S. Miroshnychenko10
WSep 3 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.4429140S. Miroshnychenko2.631111163LSep 3 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko2.384630D. Kuzmenko1.531111113LSep 3 · 08:00O. Lyman1.36711146163S. Miroshnychenko3.001151211142LSep 3 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.441012118153S. Miroshnychenko2.631210711132LSep 3 · 05:00S. Maliuk1.4011812113S. Miroshnychenko2.756111081WSep 2 · 17:39S. Miroshnychenko1.20111110113I. Torhachov4.33381251WSep 2 · 16:00R. Boklah4.00912113112S. Miroshnychenko1.221110811133LSep 2 · 13:00I. Torhachov5.00111176113S. Miroshnychenko1.1465111172WSep 2 · 12:00S. Priadko4.504590S. Miroshnychenko1.171111113LSep 1 · 11:00S. Miroshnychenko3.251011491O. Syksa1.3312811113
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