TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066857
Played Sep 3Finished
Serhii Maliuk
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1168111210118––
Serhii Miroshnychenko
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:10 and never touched — 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeSerhii Maliuk to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Maliuk above · Serhii Miroshnychenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 77 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Serhii Maliuk at 69.5%
77 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Maliuk 47–34 Serhii Miroshnychenko Serhii Miroshnychenko has won 34 of their 81 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:10What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Maliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-34 in 81
Maliuk
Correct
gap of 13 in 81, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maliuk 1509 vs Miroshnychenko 1359
Maliuk
Correct
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maliuk 60% vs Miroshnychenko 80%
Miroshnychenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maliuk 60% vs Miroshnychenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maliuk +3 · Miroshnychenko +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Maliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miroshnychenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaliuk 1.40 / Miroshnychenko 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Maliuk)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13066857
Maliuk1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 62 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it78% 45 of 58
Miroshnychenko2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog25% won 84 of 340
Down 0–1, comes back14% 29 of 215
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 119
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaliuk7wins
AwayMiroshnychenko3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMaliuk leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaliuk83.3%5 of 6
AwayMiroshnychenko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maliuk6Miroshnychenko4n = 10Maliuk took 6 of 10
S2Maliuk4Miroshnychenko6n = 10Miroshnychenko took 6 of 10
S3Maliuk8Miroshnychenko2n = 10Maliuk took 8 of 10
S4Maliuk4Miroshnychenko1n = 5Maliuk took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaliukMiroshnychenkoMaliuk − MiroshnychenkoBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.733.1+3.6per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaliukMiroshnychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 478 vs 306 / 86450%35.4%239 / 478 vs 306 / 864Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.434.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaliukMaliuk 1.40/Miroshnychenko 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Maliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Maliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 09:00S. Maliuk—11716123S. Miroshnychenko—71114101
LAug 20 · 11:00S. Maliuk—8630S. Miroshnychenko—1111113
WAug 18 · 04:30S. Maliuk—1112133S. Miroshnychenko—810110
WAug 14 · 06:00S. Maliuk—761111113S. Miroshnychenko—11116452
WAug 12 · 06:30S. Maliuk—1112113S. Miroshnychenko—51060
WAug 6 · 07:00S. Maliuk—131011113S. Miroshnychenko—1112461
LAug 5 · 10:00S. Maliuk—11711562S. Miroshnychenko—811811113
LAug 4 · 10:00S. Maliuk—95100S. Miroshnychenko—1111123
WJul 30 · 11:00S. Maliuk—1111113S. Miroshnychenko—5960
WJul 29 · 11:30S. Maliuk—121112113S. Miroshnychenko—1421071
S. Maliuk10
LSep 7 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko1.831111113S. Maliuk1.839440WSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.61115551S. Maliuk2.2091111113LSep 7 · 05:00O. Syksa1.611110911113S. Maliuk2.2051211972WSep 4 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.5767111192S. Maliuk2.25111168113WSep 4 · 10:00O. Lyman2.3851080S. Maliuk1.531112113LSep 4 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.531111113S. Maliuk2.388690LSep 4 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.7351111113S. Maliuk2.00117781WSep 4 · 04:30O. Syksa1.57117121162S. Maliuk2.25811149113LSep 3 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.736121014113S. Maliuk2.001110121282LSep 3 · 09:30S. Maliuk2.008780O. Kurylenko1.731111113
S. Miroshnychenko10
WSep 3 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.4429140S. Miroshnychenko2.631111163LSep 3 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko2.384630D. Kuzmenko1.531111113LSep 3 · 08:00O. Lyman1.36711146163S. Miroshnychenko3.001151211142LSep 3 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.441012118153S. Miroshnychenko2.631210711132WSep 2 · 17:39S. Miroshnychenko1.20111110113I. Torhachov4.33381251WSep 2 · 16:00R. Boklah4.00912113112S. Miroshnychenko1.221110811133WSep 2 · 14:30V. Ziakun3.25137981S. Miroshnychenko1.33111111113LSep 2 · 13:00I. Torhachov5.00111176113S. Miroshnychenko1.1465111172WSep 2 · 12:00S. Priadko4.504590S. Miroshnychenko1.171111113LSep 1 · 11:00S. Miroshnychenko3.251011491O. Syksa1.3312811113
Upcoming Matches
S. Maliuk
S. Miroshnychenko
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.