TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072960
Played Sep 4Finished
Oleksandr Syksa
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1187111214119611
Serhii Maliuk
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:51 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Syksa above · Serhii Maliuk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 100 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 62.1%
100 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Syksa 42–23 Serhii Maliuk Serhii Maliuk has won 23 of their 65 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:51What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Syksa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-23 in 65
Syksa
Wrong
gap of 19 in 65, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syksa 1584 vs Maliuk 1460
Syksa
Wrong
both rated, 125 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syksa 80% vs Maliuk 20%
Syksa
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syksa 80% vs Maliuk 40%
Syksa
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Syksa -1 · Maliuk -4
Maliuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Syksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maliuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyksa 1.57 / Maliuk 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Syksa)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13072960
Syksa1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 231 of 335
Up 2–0, closes it94% 90 of 96
Up 1–0, closes it82% 153 of 186
Maliuk2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 86 of 206
Down 0–1, comes back17% 20 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyksa5wins
AwayMaliuk5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyksa100%4 of 4
AwayMaliuk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syksa4Maliuk6n = 10Maliuk took 6 of 10
S2Syksa6Maliuk4n = 10Syksa took 6 of 10
S3Syksa3Maliuk7n = 10Maliuk took 7 of 10
S4Syksa5Maliuk2n = 7Syksa took 5 of 7
S5Syksa2Maliuk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyksaMaliukS − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.238.8−0.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyksaMaliukBasisWin rate · lifetime574 / 1097 vs 239 / 48252.3%49.6%574 / 1097 vs 239 / 482Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaSyksa 1.57/Maliuk 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.1%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Maliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 08:30O. Syksa—51111101S. Maliuk—11133123
LAug 26 · 09:30O. Syksa—7970S. Maliuk—1111113
WAug 20 · 05:30O. Syksa—11117113S. Maliuk—761151
WAug 18 · 10:00O. Syksa—11117113S. Maliuk—961181
LAug 14 · 11:30O. Syksa—9870S. Maliuk—1111113
WAug 13 · 08:30O. Syksa—1112113S. Maliuk—81090
WAug 12 · 10:00O. Syksa—611135133S. Maliuk—1171111112
LAug 6 · 08:30O. Syksa—611151182S. Maliuk—113178113
LAug 4 · 11:00O. Syksa—41141182S. Maliuk—118118113
WJul 30 · 08:30O. Syksa—116613113S. Maliuk—511111152
O. Syksa10
WSep 7 · 07:00O. Syksa1.6711911113D. Kuzmenko2.10911861WSep 7 · 05:00O. Syksa1.611110911113S. Maliuk2.2051211972WSep 6 · 11:30S. Aristarkhov1.6111971142O. Syksa2.2031111373WSep 6 · 10:00O. Syksa1.2011136113O. Lyman4.338111141WSep 6 · 08:00D. Prylepa2.50111301162O. Syksa1.50215116113LSep 6 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov1.5311118113O. Syksa2.38881151LSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.5711911133O. Syksa2.256115111LSep 4 · 10:30O. Syksa2.50611691M. Hubenko1.5011611113WSep 4 · 09:00O. Syksa1.4411117123D. Prylepa2.638911101LSep 4 · 07:30O. Syksa1.6741181182O. Kurylenko2.10116118113
S. Maliuk10
LSep 7 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko1.831111113S. Maliuk1.839440WSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.61115551S. Maliuk2.2091111113LSep 7 · 05:00O. Syksa1.611110911113S. Maliuk2.2051211972WSep 4 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.5767111192S. Maliuk2.25111168113WSep 4 · 10:00O. Lyman2.3851080S. Maliuk1.531112113LSep 4 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.531111113S. Maliuk2.388690LSep 4 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.7351111113S. Maliuk2.00117781LSep 3 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.736121014113S. Maliuk2.001110121282LSep 3 · 09:30S. Maliuk2.008780O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 3 · 08:30S. Maliuk1.8311711462D. Kuzmenko1.83511511113
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