TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089046
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksandr Syksa
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119911118116––
Dmitro Kuzmenko
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:45 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Syksa above · Dmitro Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 76 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 57.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Syksa 79–35 Dmitro Kuzmenko Dmitro Kuzmenko has won 35 of their 114 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:45What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Syksa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
79-35 in 114
Syksa
Correct
gap of 44 in 114, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syksa 1615 vs Kuzmenko 1551
Syksa
Correct
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syksa 80% vs Kuzmenko 20%
Syksa
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syksa 60% vs Kuzmenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Syksa +4 · Kuzmenko -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Syksa) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyksa 1.67 / Kuzmenko 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Syksa)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13089046
Syksa1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite69% won 229 of 333
Up 2–0, closes it94% 92 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it82% 153 of 187
Kuzmenko2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 108 of 310
Down 0–1, comes back18% 32 of 177
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 107
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyksa7wins
AwayKuzmenko3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSyksa leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyksa85.7%6 of 7
AwayKuzmenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syksa7Kuzmenko3n = 10Syksa took 7 of 10
S2Syksa7Kuzmenko3n = 10Syksa took 7 of 10
S3Syksa4Kuzmenko6n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S4Syksa5Kuzmenko3n = 8Syksa took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyksaKuzmenkoS − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.435.2+2.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyksaKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime577 / 1102 vs 374 / 91352.4%41%577 / 1102 vs 374 / 913Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaSyksa 1.67/Kuzmenko 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.8%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Syksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 08:00O. Syksa—111196113D. Kuzmenko—58111162
WAug 27 · 06:30O. Syksa—11117113D. Kuzmenko—721181
LAug 24 · 06:00O. Syksa—1111571D. Kuzmenko—13611113
WAug 21 · 06:30O. Syksa—31112113D. Kuzmenko—1171071
WAug 18 · 11:30O. Syksa—11511113D. Kuzmenko—711681
WAug 17 · 07:30O. Syksa—11119113D. Kuzmenko—691191
LAug 14 · 06:30O. Syksa—10830D. Kuzmenko—1211113
WAug 10 · 09:30O. Syksa—1111113D. Kuzmenko—9990
LAug 9 · 10:00O. Syksa—11811842D. Kuzmenko—711711113
WAug 6 · 10:00O. Syksa—11116113D. Kuzmenko—771171
O. Syksa10
WSep 7 · 05:00O. Syksa1.611110911113S. Maliuk2.2051211972WSep 6 · 11:30S. Aristarkhov1.6111971142O. Syksa2.2031111373WSep 6 · 10:00O. Syksa1.2011136113O. Lyman4.338111141WSep 6 · 08:00D. Prylepa2.50111301162O. Syksa1.50215116113LSep 6 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov1.5311118113O. Syksa2.38881151LSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.5711911133O. Syksa2.256115111LSep 4 · 10:30O. Syksa2.50611691M. Hubenko1.5011611113WSep 4 · 09:00O. Syksa1.4411117123D. Prylepa2.638911101LSep 4 · 07:30O. Syksa1.6741181182O. Kurylenko2.10116118113WSep 4 · 06:00O. Syksa1.251111113O. Lyman3.757780
D. Kuzmenko10
LSep 7 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.005670O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 5 · 17:39D. Kuzmenko3.401399101V. Tatarnykov1.30111111123LSep 5 · 16:00M. Hubenko1.28138611133D. Kuzmenko3.501111119112LSep 5 · 14:30S. Aristarkhov1.337111283D. Kuzmenko3.251141041WSep 5 · 13:00V. Tatarnykov1.307111071D. Kuzmenko3.4011412113WSep 5 · 12:00A. Vasylets1.5011610101D. Kuzmenko2.5081112123WSep 3 · 11:00O. Lyman3.258560D. Kuzmenko1.331111113WSep 3 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko2.384630D. Kuzmenko1.531111113WSep 3 · 08:30S. Maliuk1.8311711462D. Kuzmenko1.83511511113WSep 3 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.80119711102D. Kuzmenko1.91511113123
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