TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072887
Played Sep 4Finished
Oleksandr Syksa
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611116611911––
Maksym Hubenko
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:28 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Syksa above · Maksym Hubenko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 71 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 64.1%
71 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Syksa 69–103 Maksym Hubenko Oleksandr Syksa has won 69 of their 172 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:28What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hubenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
69-103 in 172
Hubenko
Correct
gap of 34 in 172, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syksa 1575 vs Hubenko 1713
Hubenko
Correct
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syksa 40% vs Hubenko 100%
Hubenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syksa 70% vs Hubenko 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Syksa +1 · Hubenko +5
Hubenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Hubenko) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hubenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyksa 2.50 / Hubenko 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Hubenko)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13072887
Syksa2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog26% won 55 of 214
Down 0–1, comes back13% 19 of 145
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 102
Hubenko1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 235 of 320
Up 2–0, closes it94% 118 of 125
Up 1–0, closes it84% 163 of 195
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyksa4wins
AwayHubenko6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyksa40%2 of 5
AwayHubenko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syksa5Hubenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Syksa5Hubenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Syksa3Hubenko7n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10
S4Syksa4Hubenko4n = 8split evenly
S5Syksa2Hubenko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyksaHubenkoS − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.840.8−3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyksaHubenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime576 / 1101 vs 540 / 101952.3%53%576 / 1101 vs 540 / 1019Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoSyksa 2.50/Hubenko 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 13 · 05:00O. Syksa—91111113M. Hubenko—119871
WAug 12 · 06:00O. Syksa—511612113M. Hubenko—118111082
LAug 9 · 08:30O. Syksa—81151192M. Hubenko—119116113
WAug 8 · 17:04O. Syksa—115117143M. Hubenko—811911122
LAug 8 · 14:30O. Syksa—119951M. Hubenko—5111163
WAug 4 · 07:00O. Syksa—1111133M. Hubenko—87110
LJul 31 · 05:00O. Syksa—812591M. Hubenko—111011113
LJul 27 · 06:00O. Syksa—9580M. Hubenko—1111113
LJul 26 · 10:00O. Syksa—118881M. Hubenko—81111113
LJul 23 · 04:30O. Syksa—11581142M. Hubenko—811119113
O. Syksa10
WSep 7 · 10:30D. Prylepa2.5051090O. Syksa1.501112113LSep 7 · 09:30O. Syksa1.617711101O. Kurylenko2.2011117123LSep 7 · 08:30O. Syksa4.00471181S. Chuhai1.2211116113WSep 7 · 07:00O. Syksa1.6711911113D. Kuzmenko2.10911861WSep 7 · 05:00O. Syksa1.611110911113S. Maliuk2.2051211972WSep 6 · 11:30S. Aristarkhov1.6111971142O. Syksa2.2031111373WSep 6 · 10:00O. Syksa1.2011136113O. Lyman4.338111141WSep 6 · 08:00D. Prylepa2.50111301162O. Syksa1.50215116113LSep 6 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov1.5311118113O. Syksa2.38881151LSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.5711911133O. Syksa2.256115111
M. Hubenko10
LSep 6 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov2.00812114133M. Hubenko1.731110911112WSep 6 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.831113113S. Aristarkhov1.8361160WSep 6 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.3011311113O. Lyman3.40411791WSep 6 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531211113D. Prylepa2.3810570WSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.5711911133O. Syksa2.256115111LSep 5 · 17:10M. Hubenko1.83121160S. Aristarkhov1.831413113WSep 5 · 16:00M. Hubenko1.28138611133D. Kuzmenko3.501111119112WSep 5 · 15:00A. Vasylets2.38651171M. Hubenko1.5311118103WSep 5 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov2.0010960M. Hubenko1.731211113LSep 5 · 12:30S. Aristarkhov1.836111112113M. Hubenko1.8311491442
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