TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088754
Played Sep 7Finished
Dmytro Prylepa
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111012911––––
Oleksandr Syksa
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:18 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Prylepa above · Oleksandr Syksa below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 64.1%
58 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Prylepa 32–94 Oleksandr Syksa Dmytro Prylepa has won 32 of their 126 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:18What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Syksa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-94 in 126
Syksa
Correct
gap of 62 in 126, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prylepa 1522 vs Syksa 1591
Syksa
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prylepa 60% vs Syksa 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prylepa 40% vs Syksa 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prylepa +2 · Syksa -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Syksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prylepa form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrylepa 2.50 / Syksa 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Syksa)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13088754
Prylepa2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 48 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back10% 10 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 68
Syksa1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite69% won 229 of 333
Up 2–0, closes it94% 92 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it82% 153 of 187
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrylepa1wins
AwaySyksa9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSyksa leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrylepa0%0 of 3
AwaySyksa85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prylepa3Syksa7n = 10Syksa took 7 of 10
S2Prylepa1Syksa9n = 10Syksa took 9 of 10
S3Prylepa4Syksa6n = 10Syksa took 6 of 10
S4Prylepa1Syksa6n = 7Syksa took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrylepaSyksaP − SBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.342.1−6.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrylepaSyksaBasisWin rate · lifetime395 / 801 vs 575 / 110249.3%52.2%395 / 801 vs 575 / 1102Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaPrylepa 2.50/Syksa 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Syksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 07:00D. Prylepa—8711111O. Syksa—11119133
LAug 24 · 10:30D. Prylepa—135591O. Syksa—111111113
LAug 23 · 08:00D. Prylepa—8850O. Syksa—1111113
LAug 20 · 09:30D. Prylepa—11790O. Syksa—1311113
LAug 18 · 05:00D. Prylepa—9980O. Syksa—1111113
LAug 13 · 07:00D. Prylepa—1111971O. Syksa—81311113
WAug 12 · 05:00D. Prylepa—6101213153O. Syksa—11121011132
LAug 3 · 08:30D. Prylepa—1111841O. Syksa—41311113
LJul 27 · 10:30D. Prylepa—7512111O. Syksa—111110133
LJul 23 · 09:00D. Prylepa—81112882O. Syksa—1151011113
D. Prylepa10
WSep 7 · 09:00D. Prylepa1.5311119113D. Kuzmenko2.38961161WSep 7 · 07:30D. Prylepa1.619111011113O. Kurylenko2.2011412842LSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.61115551S. Maliuk2.2091111113LSep 7 · 04:30D. Prylepa3.00119471S. Chuhai1.3691111113WSep 6 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.3381111113O. Lyman3.25117881WSep 6 · 09:00V. Tatarnykov1.5011116762D. Prylepa2.50791111113LSep 6 · 08:00D. Prylepa2.50111301162O. Syksa1.50215116113LSep 6 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531211113D. Prylepa2.3810570LSep 6 · 05:30D. Prylepa2.6331141172S. Aristarkhov1.44118117113LSep 4 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.5767111192S. Maliuk2.25111168113
O. Syksa10
LSep 7 · 09:30O. Syksa1.617711101O. Kurylenko2.2011117123LSep 7 · 08:30O. Syksa4.00471181S. Chuhai1.2211116113WSep 7 · 07:00O. Syksa1.6711911113D. Kuzmenko2.10911861WSep 7 · 05:00O. Syksa1.611110911113S. Maliuk2.2051211972WSep 6 · 11:30S. Aristarkhov1.6111971142O. Syksa2.2031111373WSep 6 · 10:00O. Syksa1.2011136113O. Lyman4.338111141WSep 6 · 08:00D. Prylepa2.50111301162O. Syksa1.50215116113LSep 6 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov1.5311118113O. Syksa2.38881151LSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.5711911133O. Syksa2.256115111LSep 4 · 10:30O. Syksa2.50611691M. Hubenko1.5011611113
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