TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089018
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksandr Syksa
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7117111171012––
Oleh Kurylenko
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:44 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Syksa above · Oleh Kurylenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 76 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 59.3%
76 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Syksa 86–62 Oleh Kurylenko Oleh Kurylenko has won 62 of their 148 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:44What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Syksa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
86-62 in 148
Syksa
Wrong
gap of 24 in 148, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syksa 1606 vs Kurylenko 1495
Syksa
Wrong
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syksa 80% vs Kurylenko 20%
Syksa
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syksa 60% vs Kurylenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Syksa -1 · Kurylenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Syksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurylenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyksa 1.61 / Kurylenko 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Syksa)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13089018
Syksa1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite69% won 229 of 333
Up 2–0, closes it94% 92 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it82% 153 of 187
Kurylenko2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 68 of 223
Down 0–1, comes back16% 23 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyksa5wins
AwayKurylenko5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyksa71.4%5 of 7
AwayKurylenko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syksa7Kurylenko3n = 10Syksa took 7 of 10
S2Syksa3Kurylenko7n = 10Kurylenko took 7 of 10
S3Syksa5Kurylenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Syksa6Kurylenko3n = 9Syksa took 6 of 9
S5Syksa2Kurylenko3n = 5Kurylenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyksaKurylenkoS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.741.5−1.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyksaKurylenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime576 / 1102 vs 493 / 99152.3%49.8%576 / 1102 vs 493 / 991Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaSyksa 1.61/Kurylenko 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kurylenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 07:30O. Syksa—41181182O. Kurylenko—116118113
WSep 2 · 08:00O. Syksa—119111113O. Kurylenko—81111862
LAug 27 · 11:00O. Syksa—119114112O. Kurylenko—811811133
LAug 24 · 07:30O. Syksa—791471O. Kurylenko—111112113
WAug 21 · 11:00O. Syksa—118911113O. Kurylenko—91111942
LAug 18 · 08:00O. Syksa—111471O. Kurylenko—91111113
WAug 17 · 09:00O. Syksa—1111113O. Kurylenko—7950
WAug 13 · 09:30O. Syksa—11511133O. Kurylenko—9114111
WAug 10 · 07:00O. Syksa—11129113O. Kurylenko—9101171
LAug 4 · 05:30O. Syksa—83111172O. Kurylenko—111188113
O. Syksa10
WSep 7 · 10:30D. Prylepa2.5051090O. Syksa1.501112113LSep 7 · 08:30O. Syksa4.00471181S. Chuhai1.2211116113WSep 7 · 07:00O. Syksa1.6711911113D. Kuzmenko2.10911861WSep 7 · 05:00O. Syksa1.611110911113S. Maliuk2.2051211972WSep 6 · 11:30S. Aristarkhov1.6111971142O. Syksa2.2031111373WSep 6 · 10:00O. Syksa1.2011136113O. Lyman4.338111141WSep 6 · 08:00D. Prylepa2.50111301162O. Syksa1.50215116113LSep 6 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov1.5311118113O. Syksa2.38881151LSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.5711911133O. Syksa2.256115111LSep 4 · 10:30O. Syksa2.50611691M. Hubenko1.5011611113
O. Kurylenko10
LSep 7 · 07:30D. Prylepa1.619111011113O. Kurylenko2.2011412842LSep 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.335580S. Chuhai1.201111113WSep 7 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.005670O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 4 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.534860O. Lyman2.381111113LSep 4 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.361211118123O. Kurylenko3.00144511102WSep 4 · 07:30O. Syksa1.6741181182O. Kurylenko2.10116118113WSep 4 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.7351111113S. Maliuk2.00117781WSep 4 · 05:30D. Prylepa1.61311951O. Kurylenko2.2011911113LSep 3 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.4429140S. Miroshnychenko2.631111163WSep 3 · 09:30S. Maliuk2.008780O. Kurylenko1.731111113
Upcoming Matches
O. Syksa
Nothing scheduled
O. Kurylenko
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