TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088780
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleh Kurylenko
Home
4.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511511811––––
Serhii Chuhai
Away
1.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:31 and never touched — 82.7% is still 82.7%
Graded at full timeSerhii Chuhai to win
82.7%
82.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Kurylenko above · Serhii Chuhai below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 51 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Serhii Chuhai at 82.7%
51 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kurylenko 6–25 Serhii Chuhai Oleh Kurylenko has won 6 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:31What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Chuhai
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-25 in 31
Chuhai
Correct
gap of 19 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurylenko 1506 vs Chuhai 1725
Chuhai
Correct
both rated, 218 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurylenko 60% vs Chuhai 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurylenko 60% vs Chuhai 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurylenko +1 · Chuhai +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Chuhai) · live re-read · sealed at 83% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chuhai form (60%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurylenko 4.33 / Chuhai 1.20
Signal prob.15% / 85%
Edge (Chuhai)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13088780
Kurylenko4.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 68 of 223
Down 0–1, comes back16% 23 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 84
Chuhai1.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite73% won 180 of 246
Up 2–0, closes it94% 98 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it86% 134 of 156
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurylenko1wins
AwayChuhai9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderChuhai leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurylenko0%0 of 3
AwayChuhai85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurylenko3Chuhai7n = 10Chuhai took 7 of 10
S2Kurylenko2Chuhai8n = 10Chuhai took 8 of 10
S3Kurylenko2Chuhai8n = 10Chuhai took 8 of 10
S4Kurylenko1Chuhai4n = 5Chuhai took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurylenkoChuhaiK − CBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match28.438.3−9.9per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurylenkoChuhaiBasisWin rate · lifetime493 / 990 vs 484 / 95849.8%50.5%493 / 990 vs 484 / 958Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChuhaiKurylenko 4.33/Chuhai 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.6%
Chuhai · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Chuhai won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko—5580S. Chuhai—1111113
LAug 31 · 10:00O. Kurylenko—1151081S. Chuhai—51112113
LAug 24 · 05:30O. Kurylenko—12114852S. Chuhai—1091111113
LAug 17 · 08:00O. Kurylenko—8360S. Chuhai—1111113
WAug 10 · 08:00O. Kurylenko—141113113S. Chuhai—1691181
LJul 27 · 06:30O. Kurylenko—6680S. Chuhai—1111113
LJul 24 · 09:30O. Kurylenko—8430S. Chuhai—1111113
LJul 20 · 06:30O. Kurylenko—10580S. Chuhai—1211113
LJul 6 · 11:30O. Kurylenko—961171S. Chuhai—11117113
LJun 30 · 11:30O. Kurylenko—117891S. Chuhai—91111113
O. Kurylenko10
WSep 7 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.005670O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 4 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.534860O. Lyman2.381111113LSep 4 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.361211118123O. Kurylenko3.00144511102WSep 4 · 07:30O. Syksa1.6741181182O. Kurylenko2.10116118113WSep 4 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.7351111113S. Maliuk2.00117781WSep 4 · 05:30D. Prylepa1.61311951O. Kurylenko2.2011911113LSep 3 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.4429140S. Miroshnychenko2.631111163WSep 3 · 09:30S. Maliuk2.008780O. Kurylenko1.731111113WSep 3 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.00118771O. Kurylenko1.7381111113LSep 3 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.80119711102D. Kuzmenko1.91511113123
S. Chuhai10
WSep 7 · 04:30D. Prylepa3.00119471S. Chuhai1.3691111113WSep 4 · 17:00A. Kasyanov1.678930S. Chuhai2.101111113LSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162WSep 4 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.6111521S. Chuhai2.2061142LSep 4 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.5010570A. Lushchyk1.501211113LSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.50491171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011115113LSep 4 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.201117141A. Kasyanov1.6191111163WSep 3 · 17:00S. Chuhai2.2511129113A. Kasyanov1.576101181LSep 3 · 16:00S. Chuhai2.50961171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011116113WSep 3 · 15:30S. Chuhai2.25811811123A. Lushchyk1.57117118102
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