TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073576
Played Sep 4Finished
Ivan Fedoryshyn
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117711117911116
Serhii Chuhai
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeIvan Fedoryshyn to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Fedoryshyn above · Serhii Chuhai below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 91 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Ivan Fedoryshyn at 65.7%
91 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Fedoryshyn 147–90 Serhii Chuhai Serhii Chuhai has won 90 of their 237 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:38What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Fedoryshyn
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
147-90 in 237
Fedoryshyn
Correct
gap of 57 in 237, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fedoryshyn 1853 vs Chuhai 1688
Fedoryshyn
Correct
both rated, 165 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fedoryshyn 40% vs Chuhai 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fedoryshyn 50% vs Chuhai 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fedoryshyn -1 · Chuhai +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Fedoryshyn) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fedoryshyn form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFedoryshyn 1.44 / Chuhai 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Fedoryshyn)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13073576
Fedoryshyn1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite72% won 205 of 285
Up 2–0, closes it98% 123 of 126
Up 1–0, closes it85% 165 of 195
Chuhai2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 65 of 214
Down 0–1, comes back18% 24 of 133
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFedoryshyn8wins
AwayChuhai2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderFedoryshyn leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFedoryshyn100%4 of 4
AwayChuhai33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fedoryshyn4Chuhai6n = 10Chuhai took 6 of 10
S2Fedoryshyn8Chuhai2n = 10Fedoryshyn took 8 of 10
S3Fedoryshyn5Chuhai5n = 10split evenly
S4Fedoryshyn6Chuhai0n = 6Fedoryshyn took 6 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFedoryshynChuhaiF − CBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.732.4+4.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFedoryshynChuhaiBasisWin rate · lifetime565 / 846 vs 483 / 95966.8%50.4%565 / 846 vs 483 / 959Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FedoryshynFedoryshyn 1.44/Chuhai 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.7%
Fedoryshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Fedoryshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 13:00I. Fedoryshyn—11115113S. Chuhai—491171
WSep 3 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn—11116113S. Chuhai—961171
WSep 3 · 13:30I. Fedoryshyn—111111113S. Chuhai—138961
WSep 1 · 15:00I. Fedoryshyn—91112113S. Chuhai—1151061
LAug 25 · 15:00I. Fedoryshyn—3930S. Chuhai—1111113
WAug 25 · 14:00I. Fedoryshyn—912812113S. Chuhai—1110111072
WAug 21 · 15:00I. Fedoryshyn—1111153S. Chuhai—85130
WAug 20 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn—1111113S. Chuhai—3580
LAug 18 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn—9880S. Chuhai—1111113
WAug 13 · 13:30I. Fedoryshyn—81111113S. Chuhai—119781
I. Fedoryshyn10
WSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470LSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.251113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5771190WSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.571111911113A. Kasyanov2.2513711782WSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.50491171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011115113LSep 4 · 12:30A. Lushchyk3.2511711113I. Fedoryshyn1.33911191LSep 3 · 17:30A. Lushchyk3.4081111113I. Fedoryshyn1.30117581WSep 3 · 16:00S. Chuhai2.50961171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011116113WSep 3 · 15:00I. Fedoryshyn1.801111113A. Kasyanov1.918780LSep 3 · 14:00A. Kasyanov2.251111133I. Fedoryshyn1.5797110WSep 3 · 13:30I. Fedoryshyn1.50111111113S. Chuhai2.50138961
S. Chuhai10
WSep 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.335580S. Chuhai1.201111113WSep 7 · 04:30D. Prylepa3.00119471S. Chuhai1.3691111113WSep 4 · 17:00A. Kasyanov1.678930S. Chuhai2.101111113WSep 4 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.6111521S. Chuhai2.2061142LSep 4 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.5010570A. Lushchyk1.501211113LSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.50491171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011115113LSep 4 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.201117141A. Kasyanov1.6191111163WSep 3 · 17:00S. Chuhai2.2511129113A. Kasyanov1.576101181LSep 3 · 16:00S. Chuhai2.50961171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011116113LSep 3 · 13:30I. Fedoryshyn1.50111111113S. Chuhai2.50138961
Upcoming Matches
I. Fedoryshyn
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S. Chuhai
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