TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067405
Played Sep 3Finished
Andrii Lushchyk
Home
3.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811117115118––
Ivan Fedoryshyn
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:48 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeIvan Fedoryshyn to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Lushchyk above · Ivan Fedoryshyn below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 72 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Ivan Fedoryshyn at 70.7%
72 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Lushchyk 36–119 Ivan Fedoryshyn Andrii Lushchyk has won 36 of their 155 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:48What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-119 in 155
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
gap of 83 in 155, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lushchyk 1722 vs Fedoryshyn 1882
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
both rated, 160 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lushchyk 60% vs Fedoryshyn 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lushchyk 50% vs Fedoryshyn 70%
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lushchyk +1 · Fedoryshyn +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Fedoryshyn) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fedoryshyn form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLushchyk 3.40 / Fedoryshyn 1.30
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Fedoryshyn)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13067405
Lushchyk3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog21% won 35 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back13% 16 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 80
Fedoryshyn1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite72% won 202 of 279
Up 2–0, closes it98% 121 of 124
Up 1–0, closes it85% 163 of 192
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLushchyk1wins
AwayFedoryshyn9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderFedoryshyn leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLushchyk16.7%1 of 6
AwayFedoryshyn100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lushchyk6Fedoryshyn4n = 10Lushchyk took 6 of 10
S2Lushchyk4Fedoryshyn6n = 10Fedoryshyn took 6 of 10
S3Lushchyk2Fedoryshyn8n = 10Fedoryshyn took 8 of 10
S4Lushchyk2Fedoryshyn6n = 8Fedoryshyn took 6 of 8
S5Lushchyk0Fedoryshyn3n = 3Fedoryshyn took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLushchykFedoryshynL − FBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.843.9−7.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLushchykFedoryshynBasisWin rate · lifetime372 / 803 vs 564 / 84246.3%67%372 / 803 vs 564 / 842Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FedoryshynLushchyk 3.40/Fedoryshyn 1.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.7%
Fedoryshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lushchyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 12:30A. Lushchyk—1111123I. Fedoryshyn—98100
LAug 25 · 17:30A. Lushchyk—1011791I. Fedoryshyn—12711113
LAug 25 · 12:30A. Lushchyk—7131012102I. Fedoryshyn—11111210123
LAug 18 · 16:59A. Lushchyk—11113101I. Fedoryshyn—91311123
LAug 18 · 12:30A. Lushchyk—15211762I. Fedoryshyn—1311811113
LAug 14 · 15:00A. Lushchyk—5380I. Fedoryshyn—1111113
LAug 11 · 12:30A. Lushchyk—9181261I. Fedoryshyn—111614113
LAug 6 · 17:17A. Lushchyk—117981I. Fedoryshyn—61111113
LAug 6 · 15:00A. Lushchyk—11481182I. Fedoryshyn—811119113
LAug 2 · 15:30A. Lushchyk—114881I. Fedoryshyn—91111113
A. Lushchyk10
LSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470LSep 4 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.638760LSep 4 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.6111521S. Chuhai2.2061142WSep 4 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.5010570A. Lushchyk1.501211113LSep 4 · 13:30A. Lushchyk2.634911101A. Kasyanov1.4411114123WSep 4 · 12:30A. Lushchyk3.2511711113I. Fedoryshyn1.33911191WSep 3 · 16:30A. Lushchyk2.6311112133A. Kasyanov1.447311111LSep 3 · 15:30S. Chuhai2.25811811123A. Lushchyk1.57117118102WSep 3 · 14:30A. Lushchyk1.57711411113S. Chuhai2.2511311382LSep 3 · 13:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.633780
I. Fedoryshyn10
WSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470WSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162LSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.251113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5771190WSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.571111911113A. Kasyanov2.2513711782WSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.50491171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011115113LSep 4 · 12:30A. Lushchyk3.2511711113I. Fedoryshyn1.33911191WSep 3 · 16:00S. Chuhai2.50961171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011116113WSep 3 · 15:00I. Fedoryshyn1.801111113A. Kasyanov1.918780LSep 3 · 14:00A. Kasyanov2.251111133I. Fedoryshyn1.5797110WSep 3 · 13:30I. Fedoryshyn1.50111111113S. Chuhai2.50138961
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