TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067358
Played Sep 3Finished
Serhii Chuhai
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111178111181210
Andrii Lushchyk
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:38 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeAndrii Lushchyk to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Chuhai above · Andrii Lushchyk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 97 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Andrii Lushchyk at 60.5%
97 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Chuhai 54–103 Andrii Lushchyk Serhii Chuhai has won 54 of their 157 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:38What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Lushchyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
54-103 in 157
Lushchyk
Wrong
gap of 49 in 157, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chuhai 1705 vs Lushchyk 1715
Lushchyk
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chuhai 20% vs Lushchyk 40%
Lushchyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chuhai 20% vs Lushchyk 50%
Lushchyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chuhai -2 · Lushchyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Lushchyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lushchyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChuhai 2.25 / Lushchyk 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Lushchyk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13067358
Chuhai2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 62 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back17% 22 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 75
Lushchyk1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite68% won 114 of 169
Up 2–0, closes it97% 65 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it81% 85 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChuhai3wins
AwayLushchyk7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLushchyk leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChuhai60%3 of 5
AwayLushchyk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chuhai5Lushchyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Chuhai4Lushchyk6n = 10Lushchyk took 6 of 10
S3Chuhai3Lushchyk7n = 10Lushchyk took 7 of 10
S4Chuhai1Lushchyk5n = 6Lushchyk took 5 of 6
S5Chuhai2Lushchyk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricChuhaiLushchykC − LBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.038.1−4.1per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChuhaiLushchykBasisWin rate · lifetime480 / 954 vs 371 / 80150.3%46.3%480 / 954 vs 371 / 801Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LushchykChuhai 2.25/Lushchyk 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Lushchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Chuhai won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 14:30S. Chuhai—11311382A. Lushchyk—711411113
LSep 1 · 13:30S. Chuhai—3840A. Lushchyk—1111113
LAug 25 · 16:30S. Chuhai—1011471A. Lushchyk—12911113
WAug 25 · 13:00S. Chuhai—111198113A. Lushchyk—77111132
WAug 18 · 16:00S. Chuhai—1111113A. Lushchyk—7580
LAug 11 · 17:19S. Chuhai—118491A. Lushchyk—61111113
LAug 11 · 13:30S. Chuhai—13840A. Lushchyk—1511113
LAug 6 · 12:00S. Chuhai—81191142A. Lushchyk—117119113
LJul 31 · 11:00S. Chuhai—10970A. Lushchyk—1211113
WJul 24 · 05:00S. Chuhai—1151110113A. Lushchyk—51181272
S. Chuhai10
WSep 7 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko6.007580S. Chuhai1.111111113WSep 7 · 10:00S. Maliuk5.507480S. Chuhai1.131111113WSep 7 · 08:30O. Syksa4.00471181S. Chuhai1.2211116113WSep 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.335580S. Chuhai1.201111113WSep 7 · 04:30D. Prylepa3.00119471S. Chuhai1.3691111113WSep 4 · 17:00A. Kasyanov1.678930S. Chuhai2.101111113LSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162WSep 4 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.6111521S. Chuhai2.2061142LSep 4 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.5010570A. Lushchyk1.501211113LSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.50491171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011115113
A. Lushchyk10
LSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470LSep 4 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.638760LSep 4 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.6111521S. Chuhai2.2061142WSep 4 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.5010570A. Lushchyk1.501211113LSep 4 · 13:30A. Lushchyk2.634911101A. Kasyanov1.4411114123WSep 4 · 12:30A. Lushchyk3.2511711113I. Fedoryshyn1.33911191WSep 3 · 17:30A. Lushchyk3.4081111113I. Fedoryshyn1.30117581WSep 3 · 16:30A. Lushchyk2.6311112133A. Kasyanov1.447311111WSep 3 · 14:30A. Lushchyk1.57711411113S. Chuhai2.2511311382LSep 3 · 13:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.633780
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