TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073266
Played Sep 4Finished
Ivan Fedoryshyn
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115114117––––
Andrii Lushchyk
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:28 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeIvan Fedoryshyn to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Fedoryshyn above · Andrii Lushchyk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 6-5
Point 42 set 3, 6-5 — our read held Ivan Fedoryshyn at 75.3%
42 points drawn · the score is 7 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Ivan Fedoryshyn 120–38 Andrii Lushchyk Andrii Lushchyk has won 38 of their 158 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:28What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Fedoryshyn
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
120-38 in 158
Fedoryshyn
Correct
gap of 82 in 158, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fedoryshyn 1859 vs Lushchyk 1752
Fedoryshyn
Correct
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fedoryshyn 60% vs Lushchyk 40%
Fedoryshyn
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fedoryshyn 60% vs Lushchyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fedoryshyn +1 · Lushchyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Fedoryshyn)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fedoryshyn form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFedoryshyn 1.33 / Lushchyk 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Fedoryshyn)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13073266
Fedoryshyn1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite72% won 205 of 285
Up 2–0, closes it98% 123 of 126
Up 1–0, closes it85% 165 of 195
Lushchyk3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog22% won 38 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back14% 17 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFedoryshyn7wins
AwayLushchyk3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderFedoryshyn leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFedoryshyn83.3%5 of 6
AwayLushchyk50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fedoryshyn6Lushchyk4n = 10Fedoryshyn took 6 of 10
S2Fedoryshyn3Lushchyk7n = 10Lushchyk took 7 of 10
S3Fedoryshyn5Lushchyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Fedoryshyn5Lushchyk2n = 7Fedoryshyn took 5 of 7
S5Fedoryshyn3Lushchyk0n = 3Fedoryshyn took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFedoryshynLushchykF − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.538.5+3.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFedoryshynLushchykBasisWin rate · lifetime566 / 847 vs 375 / 80966.8%46.4%566 / 847 vs 375 / 809Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FedoryshynFedoryshyn 1.33/Lushchyk 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.3%
Fedoryshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Fedoryshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn—117581A. Lushchyk—81111113
LSep 3 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn—7990A. Lushchyk—1111113
WSep 1 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn—156811113A. Lushchyk—131111792
LAug 27 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn—98100A. Lushchyk—1111123
WAug 25 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn—12711113A. Lushchyk—1011791
WAug 25 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn—11111210123A. Lushchyk—7131012102
WAug 18 · 16:59I. Fedoryshyn—91311123A. Lushchyk—11113101
WAug 18 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn—1311811113A. Lushchyk—15211762
WAug 14 · 15:00I. Fedoryshyn—1111113A. Lushchyk—5380
WAug 11 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn—111614113A. Lushchyk—9181261
I. Fedoryshyn10
WSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162LSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.251113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5771190WSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.571111911113A. Kasyanov2.2513711782WSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.50491171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011115113LSep 4 · 12:30A. Lushchyk3.2511711113I. Fedoryshyn1.33911191LSep 3 · 17:30A. Lushchyk3.4081111113I. Fedoryshyn1.30117581WSep 3 · 16:00S. Chuhai2.50961171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011116113WSep 3 · 15:00I. Fedoryshyn1.801111113A. Kasyanov1.918780LSep 3 · 14:00A. Kasyanov2.251111133I. Fedoryshyn1.5797110WSep 3 · 13:30I. Fedoryshyn1.50111111113S. Chuhai2.50138961
A. Lushchyk10
LSep 4 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.638760LSep 4 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.6111521S. Chuhai2.2061142WSep 4 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.5010570A. Lushchyk1.501211113LSep 4 · 13:30A. Lushchyk2.634911101A. Kasyanov1.4411114123WSep 4 · 12:30A. Lushchyk3.2511711113I. Fedoryshyn1.33911191WSep 3 · 17:30A. Lushchyk3.4081111113I. Fedoryshyn1.30117581WSep 3 · 16:30A. Lushchyk2.6311112133A. Kasyanov1.447311111LSep 3 · 15:30S. Chuhai2.25811811123A. Lushchyk1.57117118102WSep 3 · 14:30A. Lushchyk1.57711411113S. Chuhai2.2511311382LSep 3 · 13:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.633780
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