TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067663
Played Sep 3Finished
Artem Kasyanov
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113117118––––
Andrii Lushchyk
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:41 and never touched — 68.1% is still 68.1%
Graded at full timeArtem Kasyanov to win
68.1%
68.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtem Kasyanov above · Andrii Lushchyk below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 51 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Artem Kasyanov at 68.1%
51 points played in total.
H2H Artem Kasyanov 75–42 Andrii Lushchyk Andrii Lushchyk has won 42 of their 117 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:41What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kasyanov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
75-42 in 117
Kasyanov
Correct
gap of 33 in 117, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kasyanov 1881 vs Lushchyk 1712
Kasyanov
Correct
both rated, 169 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kasyanov 40% vs Lushchyk 60%
Lushchyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kasyanov 50% vs Lushchyk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kasyanov -1 · Lushchyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Kasyanov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lushchyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasyanov 1.44 / Lushchyk 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Kasyanov)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13067663
Kasyanov1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 74 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it83% 58 of 70
Lushchyk2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog21% won 35 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back13% 16 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKasyanov7wins
AwayLushchyk3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKasyanov leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKasyanov77.8%7 of 9
AwayLushchykn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kasyanov9Lushchyk1n = 10Kasyanov took 9 of 10
S2Kasyanov7Lushchyk3n = 10Kasyanov took 7 of 10
S3Kasyanov3Lushchyk7n = 10Lushchyk took 7 of 10
S4Kasyanov3Lushchyk3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKasyanovLushchykK − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match35.630.2+5.4per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasyanovLushchykBasisWin rate · lifetime405 / 706 vs 370 / 79957.4%46.3%405 / 706 vs 370 / 799Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KasyanovKasyanov 1.44/Lushchyk 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.1%
Kasyanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kasyanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 14:30A. Kasyanov—117851A. Lushchyk—71111113
WAug 27 · 15:00A. Kasyanov—1111113A. Lushchyk—3990
WAug 25 · 15:30A. Kasyanov—11116113A. Lushchyk—831191
WAug 25 · 14:30A. Kasyanov—11119113A. Lushchyk—351171
LAug 18 · 15:00A. Kasyanov—1111981A. Lushchyk—71311113
WAug 14 · 13:30A. Kasyanov—111166113A. Lushchyk—91111172
WAug 11 · 14:30A. Kasyanov—1111113A. Lushchyk—7880
LAug 9 · 05:30A. Kasyanov—9750A. Lushchyk—1111113
WAug 2 · 13:00A. Kasyanov—11117113A. Lushchyk—641141
WJul 31 · 05:30A. Kasyanov—1111113A. Lushchyk—9760
A. Kasyanov10
LSep 4 · 17:00A. Kasyanov1.678930S. Chuhai2.101111113WSep 4 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.638760WSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.251113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5771190LSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.571111911113A. Kasyanov2.2513711782WSep 4 · 13:30A. Lushchyk2.634911101A. Kasyanov1.4411114123WSep 4 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.201117141A. Kasyanov1.6191111163LSep 3 · 17:00S. Chuhai2.2511129113A. Kasyanov1.576101181LSep 3 · 16:30A. Lushchyk2.6311112133A. Kasyanov1.447311111LSep 3 · 15:00I. Fedoryshyn1.801111113A. Kasyanov1.918780WSep 3 · 14:00A. Kasyanov2.251111133I. Fedoryshyn1.5797110
A. Lushchyk10
LSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470LSep 4 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.638760LSep 4 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.6111521S. Chuhai2.2061142WSep 4 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.5010570A. Lushchyk1.501211113LSep 4 · 13:30A. Lushchyk2.634911101A. Kasyanov1.4411114123WSep 4 · 12:30A. Lushchyk3.2511711113I. Fedoryshyn1.33911191WSep 3 · 17:30A. Lushchyk3.4081111113I. Fedoryshyn1.30117581WSep 3 · 16:30A. Lushchyk2.6311112133A. Kasyanov1.447311111LSep 3 · 15:30S. Chuhai2.25811811123A. Lushchyk1.57117118102WSep 3 · 14:30A. Lushchyk1.57711411113S. Chuhai2.2511311382
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