TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073181
Played Sep 4Finished
Serhii Chuhai
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1191117111416––
Artem Kasyanov
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:19 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeArtem Kasyanov to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Chuhai above · Artem Kasyanov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 14-16
Point 80 set 4, 14-16 — our read held Artem Kasyanov at 60.9%
80 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Chuhai 73–94 Artem Kasyanov Serhii Chuhai has won 73 of their 167 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:19What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kasyanov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
73-94 in 167
Kasyanov
Correct
gap of 21 in 167, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chuhai 1728 vs Kasyanov 1852
Kasyanov
Correct
both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chuhai 40% vs Kasyanov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chuhai 30% vs Kasyanov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chuhai +1 · Kasyanov -3
Kasyanov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kasyanov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasyanov form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChuhai 2.20 / Kasyanov 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Kasyanov)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13073181
Chuhai2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 65 of 214
Down 0–1, comes back18% 24 of 133
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 76
Kasyanov1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 75 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it93% 42 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it82% 59 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChuhai3wins
AwayKasyanov7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKasyanov leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChuhai33.3%1 of 3
AwayKasyanov71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chuhai3Kasyanov7n = 10Kasyanov took 7 of 10
S2Chuhai3Kasyanov7n = 10Kasyanov took 7 of 10
S3Chuhai5Kasyanov5n = 10split evenly
S4Chuhai2Kasyanov7n = 9Kasyanov took 7 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricChuhaiKasyanovC − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.840.7−5.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChuhaiKasyanovBasisWin rate · lifetime482 / 955 vs 405 / 70850.5%57.2%482 / 955 vs 405 / 708Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KasyanovChuhai 2.20/Kasyanov 1.61
Hit
What we said
60.9%
Kasyanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kasyanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 12:00S. Chuhai—81112113A. Kasyanov—1161051
LSep 1 · 12:00S. Chuhai—8790A. Kasyanov—1111113
LAug 25 · 17:00S. Chuhai—114851A. Kasyanov—51111113
WAug 25 · 12:00S. Chuhai—114128113A. Kasyanov—911101162
LAug 21 · 13:30S. Chuhai—851191A. Kasyanov—11117113
LAug 20 · 16:59S. Chuhai—1177111A. Kasyanov—81111133
LAug 20 · 15:00S. Chuhai—7111161A. Kasyanov—11813113
WAug 18 · 17:28S. Chuhai—841111113A. Kasyanov—11119992
LAug 18 · 12:00S. Chuhai—711571A. Kasyanov—11811113
LAug 13 · 12:00S. Chuhai—821181A. Kasyanov—11118113
S. Chuhai10
WSep 7 · 08:30O. Syksa4.00471181S. Chuhai1.2211116113WSep 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.335580S. Chuhai1.201111113WSep 7 · 04:30D. Prylepa3.00119471S. Chuhai1.3691111113WSep 4 · 17:00A. Kasyanov1.678930S. Chuhai2.101111113LSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162WSep 4 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.6111521S. Chuhai2.2061142LSep 4 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.5010570A. Lushchyk1.501211113LSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.50491171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011115113WSep 3 · 17:00S. Chuhai2.2511129113A. Kasyanov1.576101181LSep 3 · 16:00S. Chuhai2.50961171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011116113
A. Kasyanov10
LSep 4 · 17:00A. Kasyanov1.678930S. Chuhai2.101111113WSep 4 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.638760WSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.251113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5771190LSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.571111911113A. Kasyanov2.2513711782WSep 4 · 13:30A. Lushchyk2.634911101A. Kasyanov1.4411114123LSep 3 · 17:00S. Chuhai2.2511129113A. Kasyanov1.576101181LSep 3 · 16:30A. Lushchyk2.6311112133A. Kasyanov1.447311111LSep 3 · 15:00I. Fedoryshyn1.801111113A. Kasyanov1.918780WSep 3 · 14:00A. Kasyanov2.251111133I. Fedoryshyn1.5797110WSep 3 · 13:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.633780
Upcoming Matches
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