TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067406
Played Sep 3Finished
Andrii Lushchyk
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171132111311––
Artem Kasyanov
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:48 and never touched — 68.1% is still 68.1%
Graded at full timeArtem Kasyanov to win
68.1%
68.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Lushchyk above · Artem Kasyanov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 69 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Artem Kasyanov at 68.1%
69 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Lushchyk 42–77 Artem Kasyanov Andrii Lushchyk has won 42 of their 119 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:48What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kasyanov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-77 in 119
Kasyanov
Wrong
gap of 35 in 119, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lushchyk 1704 vs Kasyanov 1887
Kasyanov
Wrong
both rated, 183 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lushchyk 40% vs Kasyanov 60%
Kasyanov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lushchyk 50% vs Kasyanov 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lushchyk -1 · Kasyanov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Kasyanov)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLushchyk 2.63 / Kasyanov 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Kasyanov)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13067406
Lushchyk2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog21% won 35 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back13% 16 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 80
Kasyanov1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 74 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it83% 58 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLushchyk3wins
AwayKasyanov7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKasyanov leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLushchykn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKasyanov75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lushchyk2Kasyanov8n = 10Kasyanov took 8 of 10
S2Lushchyk3Kasyanov7n = 10Kasyanov took 7 of 10
S3Lushchyk6Kasyanov4n = 10Lushchyk took 6 of 10
S4Lushchyk3Kasyanov3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLushchykKasyanovL − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match30.035.6−5.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLushchykKasyanovBasisWin rate · lifetime371 / 802 vs 406 / 70746.3%57.4%371 / 802 vs 406 / 707Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KasyanovLushchyk 2.63/Kasyanov 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.1%
Kasyanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lushchyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 13:00A. Lushchyk—3780A. Kasyanov—1111113
LSep 1 · 17:05A. Lushchyk—114391A. Kasyanov—71111113
WSep 1 · 14:30A. Lushchyk—71111113A. Kasyanov—117851
LAug 27 · 15:00A. Lushchyk—3990A. Kasyanov—1111113
LAug 25 · 15:30A. Lushchyk—831191A. Kasyanov—11116113
LAug 25 · 14:30A. Lushchyk—351171A. Kasyanov—11119113
WAug 18 · 15:00A. Lushchyk—71311113A. Kasyanov—1111981
LAug 14 · 13:30A. Lushchyk—91111172A. Kasyanov—111166113
LAug 11 · 14:30A. Lushchyk—7880A. Kasyanov—1111113
WAug 9 · 05:30A. Lushchyk—1111113A. Kasyanov—9750
A. Lushchyk10
LSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470LSep 4 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.638760LSep 4 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.6111521S. Chuhai2.2061142WSep 4 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.5010570A. Lushchyk1.501211113LSep 4 · 13:30A. Lushchyk2.634911101A. Kasyanov1.4411114123WSep 4 · 12:30A. Lushchyk3.2511711113I. Fedoryshyn1.33911191WSep 3 · 17:30A. Lushchyk3.4081111113I. Fedoryshyn1.30117581LSep 3 · 15:30S. Chuhai2.25811811123A. Lushchyk1.57117118102WSep 3 · 14:30A. Lushchyk1.57711411113S. Chuhai2.2511311382LSep 3 · 13:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.633780
A. Kasyanov10
LSep 4 · 17:00A. Kasyanov1.678930S. Chuhai2.101111113WSep 4 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.638760WSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.251113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5771190LSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.571111911113A. Kasyanov2.2513711782WSep 4 · 13:30A. Lushchyk2.634911101A. Kasyanov1.4411114123WSep 4 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.201117141A. Kasyanov1.6191111163LSep 3 · 17:00S. Chuhai2.2511129113A. Kasyanov1.576101181LSep 3 · 15:00I. Fedoryshyn1.801111113A. Kasyanov1.918780WSep 3 · 14:00A. Kasyanov2.251111133I. Fedoryshyn1.5797110WSep 3 · 13:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.633780
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