TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067340
Played Sep 3Finished
Ivan Fedoryshyn
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117118––––
Artem Kasyanov
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:27 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeIvan Fedoryshyn to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Fedoryshyn above · Artem Kasyanov below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 56 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Ivan Fedoryshyn at 59.3%
56 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Fedoryshyn 96–60 Artem Kasyanov Artem Kasyanov has won 60 of their 156 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:27What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Fedoryshyn
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
96-60 in 156
Fedoryshyn
Correct
gap of 36 in 156, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fedoryshyn 1859 vs Kasyanov 1903
Kasyanov
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fedoryshyn 40% vs Kasyanov 60%
Kasyanov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fedoryshyn 50% vs Kasyanov 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fedoryshyn -1 · Kasyanov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kasyanov) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fedoryshyn form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFedoryshyn 1.80 / Kasyanov 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kasyanov)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13067340
Fedoryshyn1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite72% won 202 of 279
Up 2–0, closes it98% 121 of 124
Up 1–0, closes it85% 163 of 192
Kasyanov1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 28 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back31% 11 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFedoryshyn2wins
AwayKasyanov8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKasyanov leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFedoryshyn40%2 of 5
AwayKasyanov100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fedoryshyn5Kasyanov5n = 10split evenly
S2Fedoryshyn4Kasyanov6n = 10Kasyanov took 6 of 10
S3Fedoryshyn4Kasyanov6n = 10Kasyanov took 6 of 10
S4Fedoryshyn2Kasyanov4n = 6Kasyanov took 4 of 6
S5Fedoryshyn0Kasyanov3n = 3Kasyanov took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFedoryshynKasyanovF − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.139.5−5.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFedoryshynKasyanovBasisWin rate · lifetime564 / 842 vs 406 / 70767%57.4%564 / 842 vs 406 / 707Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KasyanovFedoryshyn 1.80/Kasyanov 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kasyanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Fedoryshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 14:00I. Fedoryshyn—97110A. Kasyanov—1111133
WSep 1 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn—1111123A. Kasyanov—76100
WAug 28 · 15:30I. Fedoryshyn—1111143A. Kasyanov—95120
LAug 28 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn—971161A. Kasyanov—11117113
LAug 27 · 13:30I. Fedoryshyn—12113772A. Kasyanov—1081111113
LAug 25 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn—9980A. Kasyanov—1111113
LAug 25 · 13:30I. Fedoryshyn—119941A. Kasyanov—91111113
LAug 21 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn—11751362A. Kasyanov—7111111113
LAug 20 · 13:30I. Fedoryshyn—1011451A. Kasyanov—12911113
LAug 18 · 13:30I. Fedoryshyn—65111172A. Kasyanov—111199113
I. Fedoryshyn10
WSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470WSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162LSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.251113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5771190WSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.571111911113A. Kasyanov2.2513711782WSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.50491171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011115113LSep 4 · 12:30A. Lushchyk3.2511711113I. Fedoryshyn1.33911191LSep 3 · 17:30A. Lushchyk3.4081111113I. Fedoryshyn1.30117581WSep 3 · 16:00S. Chuhai2.50961171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011116113LSep 3 · 14:00A. Kasyanov2.251111133I. Fedoryshyn1.5797110WSep 3 · 13:30I. Fedoryshyn1.50111111113S. Chuhai2.50138961
A. Kasyanov10
LSep 4 · 17:00A. Kasyanov1.678930S. Chuhai2.101111113WSep 4 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.638760WSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.251113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5771190LSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.571111911113A. Kasyanov2.2513711782WSep 4 · 13:30A. Lushchyk2.634911101A. Kasyanov1.4411114123WSep 4 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.201117141A. Kasyanov1.6191111163LSep 3 · 17:00S. Chuhai2.2511129113A. Kasyanov1.576101181LSep 3 · 16:30A. Lushchyk2.6311112133A. Kasyanov1.447311111WSep 3 · 14:00A. Kasyanov2.251111133I. Fedoryshyn1.5797110WSep 3 · 13:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.633780
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