TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073612
Played Sep 4Finished
Artem Kasyanov
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911311––––
Serhii Chuhai
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:49 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeArtem Kasyanov to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingArtem Kasyanov above · Serhii Chuhai below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 53 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Artem Kasyanov at 60.9%
53 points played in total.
H2H Artem Kasyanov 95–74 Serhii Chuhai Serhii Chuhai has won 74 of their 169 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:49What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kasyanov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
95-74 in 169
Kasyanov
Wrong
gap of 21 in 169, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kasyanov 1889 vs Chuhai 1688
Kasyanov
Wrong
both rated, 201 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kasyanov 80% vs Chuhai 20%
Kasyanov
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kasyanov 60% vs Chuhai 30%
Kasyanov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kasyanov +2 · Chuhai -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kasyanov) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasyanov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasyanov 1.67 / Chuhai 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Kasyanov)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13073612
Kasyanov1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 75 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it93% 42 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it82% 59 of 72
Chuhai2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 65 of 214
Down 0–1, comes back18% 24 of 133
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKasyanov6wins
AwayChuhai4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKasyanov leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKasyanov60%3 of 5
AwayChuhai40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kasyanov5Chuhai5n = 10split evenly
S2Kasyanov7Chuhai3n = 10Kasyanov took 7 of 10
S3Kasyanov6Chuhai4n = 10Kasyanov took 6 of 10
S4Kasyanov6Chuhai3n = 9Kasyanov took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKasyanovChuhaiK − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.736.5+4.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasyanovChuhaiBasisWin rate · lifetime409 / 712 vs 483 / 96057.4%50.3%409 / 712 vs 483 / 960Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KasyanovKasyanov 1.67/Chuhai 2.10
Miss
What we said
59%
Kasyanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Chuhai won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 12:00A. Kasyanov—91111163S. Chuhai—1117141
LSep 3 · 17:00A. Kasyanov—6101181S. Chuhai—11129113
LSep 3 · 12:00A. Kasyanov—1161051S. Chuhai—81112113
WSep 1 · 12:00A. Kasyanov—1111113S. Chuhai—8790
WAug 25 · 17:00A. Kasyanov—51111113S. Chuhai—114851
LAug 25 · 12:00A. Kasyanov—911101162S. Chuhai—114128113
WAug 21 · 13:30A. Kasyanov—11117113S. Chuhai—851191
WAug 20 · 16:59A. Kasyanov—81111133S. Chuhai—1177111
WAug 20 · 15:00A. Kasyanov—11813113S. Chuhai—7111161
LAug 18 · 17:28A. Kasyanov—11119992S. Chuhai—841111113
A. Kasyanov10
WSep 4 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.638760WSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.251113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5771190LSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.571111911113A. Kasyanov2.2513711782WSep 4 · 13:30A. Lushchyk2.634911101A. Kasyanov1.4411114123WSep 4 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.201117141A. Kasyanov1.6191111163LSep 3 · 17:00S. Chuhai2.2511129113A. Kasyanov1.576101181LSep 3 · 16:30A. Lushchyk2.6311112133A. Kasyanov1.447311111LSep 3 · 15:00I. Fedoryshyn1.801111113A. Kasyanov1.918780WSep 3 · 14:00A. Kasyanov2.251111133I. Fedoryshyn1.5797110WSep 3 · 13:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.633780
S. Chuhai10
WSep 7 · 08:30O. Syksa4.00471181S. Chuhai1.2211116113WSep 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.335580S. Chuhai1.201111113WSep 7 · 04:30D. Prylepa3.00119471S. Chuhai1.3691111113LSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162WSep 4 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.6111521S. Chuhai2.2061142LSep 4 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.5010570A. Lushchyk1.501211113LSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.50491171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011115113LSep 4 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.201117141A. Kasyanov1.6191111163WSep 3 · 17:00S. Chuhai2.2511129113A. Kasyanov1.576101181LSep 3 · 16:00S. Chuhai2.50961171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011116113
Upcoming Matches
A. Kasyanov
Nothing scheduled
S. Chuhai
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