TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088800
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksandr Syksa
Home
4.00
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411711116811––
Serhii Chuhai
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:31 and never touched — 82.9% is still 82.9%
Graded at full timeSerhii Chuhai to win
82.9%
82.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Syksa above · Serhii Chuhai below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 69 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Serhii Chuhai at 82.9%
69 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Syksa 11–87 Serhii Chuhai Oleksandr Syksa has won 11 of their 98 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:31What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Chuhai
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-87 in 98
Chuhai
Correct
gap of 76 in 98, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syksa 1615 vs Chuhai 1725
Chuhai
Correct
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syksa 100% vs Chuhai 80%
Syksa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syksa 60% vs Chuhai 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Syksa +5 · Chuhai +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Chuhai)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syksa form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyksa 4.00 / Chuhai 1.22
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Chuhai)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13088800
Syksa4.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog26% won 56 of 213
Down 0–1, comes back14% 20 of 145
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 101
Chuhai1.22
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite73% won 180 of 246
Up 2–0, closes it94% 98 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it86% 134 of 156
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyksa1wins
AwayChuhai9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderChuhai leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyksa25%1 of 4
AwayChuhai100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syksa4Chuhai6n = 10Chuhai took 6 of 10
S2Syksa2Chuhai8n = 10Chuhai took 8 of 10
S3Syksa3Chuhai7n = 10Chuhai took 7 of 10
S4Syksa1Chuhai6n = 7Chuhai took 6 of 7
S5Syksa1Chuhai2n = 3Chuhai took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyksaChuhaiS − CBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match29.441.7−12.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyksaChuhaiBasisWin rate · lifetime577 / 1102 vs 484 / 95852.4%50.5%577 / 1102 vs 484 / 958Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChuhaiSyksa 4.00/Chuhai 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.9%
Chuhai · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chuhai won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 06:30O. Syksa—41030S. Chuhai—1112113
LAug 28 · 05:30O. Syksa—146261S. Chuhai—121111113
LAug 24 · 09:00O. Syksa—671221S. Chuhai—111110113
LAug 17 · 06:00O. Syksa—1051171S. Chuhai—12119113
WAug 14 · 05:30O. Syksa—117511113S. Chuhai—61111682
LAug 10 · 05:00O. Syksa—811951S. Chuhai—11811113
LJul 31 · 08:30O. Syksa—11116472S. Chuhai—691111113
LJul 27 · 04:30O. Syksa—15611222S. Chuhai—1311911113
LJul 17 · 06:30O. Syksa—6770S. Chuhai—1111113
LJul 10 · 09:30O. Syksa—5650S. Chuhai—1111113
O. Syksa10
WSep 7 · 07:00O. Syksa1.6711911113D. Kuzmenko2.10911861WSep 7 · 05:00O. Syksa1.611110911113S. Maliuk2.2051211972WSep 6 · 11:30S. Aristarkhov1.6111971142O. Syksa2.2031111373WSep 6 · 10:00O. Syksa1.2011136113O. Lyman4.338111141WSep 6 · 08:00D. Prylepa2.50111301162O. Syksa1.50215116113LSep 6 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov1.5311118113O. Syksa2.38881151LSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.5711911133O. Syksa2.256115111LSep 4 · 10:30O. Syksa2.50611691M. Hubenko1.5011611113WSep 4 · 09:00O. Syksa1.4411117123D. Prylepa2.638911101LSep 4 · 07:30O. Syksa1.6741181182O. Kurylenko2.10116118113
S. Chuhai10
WSep 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.335580S. Chuhai1.201111113WSep 7 · 04:30D. Prylepa3.00119471S. Chuhai1.3691111113WSep 4 · 17:00A. Kasyanov1.678930S. Chuhai2.101111113LSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162WSep 4 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.6111521S. Chuhai2.2061142LSep 4 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.5010570A. Lushchyk1.501211113LSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.50491171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011115113LSep 4 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.201117141A. Kasyanov1.6191111163WSep 3 · 17:00S. Chuhai2.2511129113A. Kasyanov1.576101181LSep 3 · 16:00S. Chuhai2.50961171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011116113
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