TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073015
Played Sep 4Finished
Andrii Lushchyk
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 2
Set by set
11651124––––
Serhii Chuhai
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:48 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeAndrii Lushchyk to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Lushchyk above · Serhii Chuhai below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 2-4
Point 39 set 3, 2-4 — our read held Andrii Lushchyk at 64.1%
39 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Lushchyk 104–55 Serhii Chuhai Serhii Chuhai has won 55 of their 159 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:48What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Lushchyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
104-55 in 159
Lushchyk
Wrong
gap of 49 in 159, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lushchyk 1734 vs Chuhai 1705
Lushchyk
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lushchyk 80% vs Chuhai 20%
Lushchyk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lushchyk 60% vs Chuhai 30%
Lushchyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lushchyk +1 · Chuhai -3
Chuhai
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Lushchyk) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chuhai form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLushchyk 1.61 / Chuhai 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Lushchyk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13073015
Lushchyk1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 115 of 171
Up 2–0, closes it97% 65 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it80% 85 of 106
Chuhai2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 65 of 214
Down 0–1, comes back18% 24 of 133
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLushchyk7wins
AwayChuhai3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLushchyk leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLushchyk83.3%5 of 6
AwayChuhai50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lushchyk6Chuhai4n = 10Lushchyk took 6 of 10
S2Lushchyk5Chuhai5n = 10split evenly
S3Lushchyk8Chuhai2n = 10Lushchyk took 8 of 10
S4Lushchyk4Chuhai2n = 6Lushchyk took 4 of 6
S5Lushchyk2Chuhai2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLushchykChuhaiL − CBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.533.8+4.7per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLushchykChuhaiBasisWin rate · lifetime375 / 810 vs 484 / 96146.3%50.4%375 / 810 vs 484 / 961Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LushchykLushchyk 1.61/Chuhai 2.20
Miss
What we said
59.3%
Lushchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–2
Chuhai won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 14:00A. Lushchyk—1211113S. Chuhai—10570
LSep 3 · 15:30A. Lushchyk—117118102S. Chuhai—811811123
WSep 3 · 14:30A. Lushchyk—711411113S. Chuhai—11311382
WSep 1 · 13:30A. Lushchyk—1111113S. Chuhai—3840
WAug 25 · 16:30A. Lushchyk—12911113S. Chuhai—1011471
LAug 25 · 13:00A. Lushchyk—77111132S. Chuhai—111198113
LAug 18 · 16:00A. Lushchyk—7580S. Chuhai—1111113
WAug 11 · 17:19A. Lushchyk—61111113S. Chuhai—118491
WAug 11 · 13:30A. Lushchyk—1511113S. Chuhai—13840
WAug 6 · 12:00A. Lushchyk—117119113S. Chuhai—81191142
A. Lushchyk10
LSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470LSep 4 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.638760WSep 4 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.5010570A. Lushchyk1.501211113LSep 4 · 13:30A. Lushchyk2.634911101A. Kasyanov1.4411114123WSep 4 · 12:30A. Lushchyk3.2511711113I. Fedoryshyn1.33911191WSep 3 · 17:30A. Lushchyk3.4081111113I. Fedoryshyn1.30117581WSep 3 · 16:30A. Lushchyk2.6311112133A. Kasyanov1.447311111LSep 3 · 15:30S. Chuhai2.25811811123A. Lushchyk1.57117118102WSep 3 · 14:30A. Lushchyk1.57711411113S. Chuhai2.2511311382LSep 3 · 13:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.633780
S. Chuhai10
WSep 7 · 08:30O. Syksa4.00471181S. Chuhai1.2211116113WSep 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.335580S. Chuhai1.201111113WSep 7 · 04:30D. Prylepa3.00119471S. Chuhai1.3691111113WSep 4 · 17:00A. Kasyanov1.678930S. Chuhai2.101111113LSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162LSep 4 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.5010570A. Lushchyk1.501211113LSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.50491171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011115113LSep 4 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.201117141A. Kasyanov1.6191111163WSep 3 · 15:30S. Chuhai2.25811811123A. Lushchyk1.57117118102LSep 3 · 14:30A. Lushchyk1.57711411113S. Chuhai2.2511311382
Upcoming Matches
A. Lushchyk
Nothing scheduled
S. Chuhai
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