TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067617
Played Sep 3Finished
Andrii Lushchyk
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711113411113118
Serhii Chuhai
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:31 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeAndrii Lushchyk to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Lushchyk above · Serhii Chuhai below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 80 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Andrii Lushchyk at 60.5%
80 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Lushchyk 98–52 Serhii Chuhai Serhii Chuhai has won 52 of their 150 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:31What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Lushchyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
98-52 in 150
Lushchyk
Correct
gap of 46 in 150, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lushchyk 1704 vs Chuhai 1717
Chuhai
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lushchyk 40% vs Chuhai 20%
Lushchyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lushchyk 40% vs Chuhai 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lushchyk -1 · Chuhai -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Lushchyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chuhai form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLushchyk 1.57 / Chuhai 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Lushchyk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13067617
Lushchyk1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite68% won 114 of 169
Up 2–0, closes it97% 65 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it81% 85 of 105
Chuhai2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 62 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back17% 22 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLushchyk6wins
AwayChuhai4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLushchyk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLushchyk62.5%5 of 8
AwayChuhain = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lushchyk8Chuhai2n = 10Lushchyk took 8 of 10
S2Lushchyk6Chuhai3n = 9Lushchyk took 6 of 9
S3Lushchyk4Chuhai5n = 9Chuhai took 5 of 9
S4Lushchyk4Chuhai3n = 7Lushchyk took 4 of 7
S5Lushchyk1Chuhai3n = 4Chuhai took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLushchykChuhaiL − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.736.1+0.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLushchykChuhaiBasisWin rate · lifetime370 / 800 vs 482 / 95546.3%50.5%370 / 800 vs 482 / 955Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LushchykLushchyk 1.57/Chuhai 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Lushchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lushchyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 28 · 13:30A. Lushchyk—71S. Chuhai—60
LJul 24 · 05:00A. Lushchyk—51181272S. Chuhai—1151110113
WJul 23 · 15:00A. Lushchyk—111112113S. Chuhai—961451
LJul 21 · 13:30A. Lushchyk—119581S. Chuhai—81111113
WJul 16 · 15:00A. Lushchyk—1111123S. Chuhai—64100
LJul 14 · 13:30A. Lushchyk—11951132S. Chuhai—811119113
WJul 13 · 09:30A. Lushchyk—118119123S. Chuhai—811711102
LJul 7 · 12:30A. Lushchyk—111310632S. Chuhai—9111211113
WJul 3 · 13:30A. Lushchyk—51111113S. Chuhai—119881
WJul 2 · 17:03A. Lushchyk—1112113S. Chuhai—81070
A. Lushchyk10
LSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470LSep 4 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.638760LSep 4 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.6111521S. Chuhai2.2061142WSep 4 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.5010570A. Lushchyk1.501211113LSep 4 · 13:30A. Lushchyk2.634911101A. Kasyanov1.4411114123WSep 4 · 12:30A. Lushchyk3.2511711113I. Fedoryshyn1.33911191WSep 3 · 17:30A. Lushchyk3.4081111113I. Fedoryshyn1.30117581WSep 3 · 16:30A. Lushchyk2.6311112133A. Kasyanov1.447311111LSep 3 · 15:30S. Chuhai2.25811811123A. Lushchyk1.57117118102LSep 3 · 13:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.633780
S. Chuhai10
WSep 7 · 08:30O. Syksa4.00471181S. Chuhai1.2211116113WSep 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.335580S. Chuhai1.201111113WSep 7 · 04:30D. Prylepa3.00119471S. Chuhai1.3691111113WSep 4 · 17:00A. Kasyanov1.678930S. Chuhai2.101111113LSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162WSep 4 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.6111521S. Chuhai2.2061142LSep 4 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.5010570A. Lushchyk1.501211113LSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.50491171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011115113LSep 4 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.201117141A. Kasyanov1.6191111163WSep 3 · 15:30S. Chuhai2.25811811123A. Lushchyk1.57117118102
Upcoming Matches
A. Lushchyk
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S. Chuhai
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