TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073012
Played Sep 4Finished
Andrii Lushchyk
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4119111141012––
Artem Kasyanov
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:49 and never touched — 68.1% is still 68.1%
Graded at full timeArtem Kasyanov to win
68.1%
68.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Lushchyk above · Artem Kasyanov below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 72 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Artem Kasyanov at 68.1%
72 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Lushchyk 43–78 Artem Kasyanov Andrii Lushchyk has won 43 of their 121 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:49What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kasyanov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-78 in 121
Kasyanov
Correct
gap of 35 in 121, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lushchyk 1748 vs Kasyanov 1868
Kasyanov
Correct
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lushchyk 80% vs Kasyanov 40%
Lushchyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lushchyk 60% vs Kasyanov 40%
Lushchyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lushchyk +3 · Kasyanov +1
Lushchyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Kasyanov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasyanov form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLushchyk 2.63 / Kasyanov 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Kasyanov)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13073012
Lushchyk2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog22% won 38 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back14% 17 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 81
Kasyanov1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite69% won 75 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it93% 42 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it82% 59 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLushchyk3wins
AwayKasyanov7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKasyanov leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLushchykn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKasyanov75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lushchyk2Kasyanov8n = 10Kasyanov took 8 of 10
S2Lushchyk3Kasyanov7n = 10Kasyanov took 7 of 10
S3Lushchyk6Kasyanov4n = 10Lushchyk took 6 of 10
S4Lushchyk4Kasyanov4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLushchykKasyanovL − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match31.537.2−5.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLushchykKasyanovBasisWin rate · lifetime374 / 806 vs 407 / 70946.4%57.4%374 / 806 vs 407 / 709Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KasyanovLushchyk 2.63/Kasyanov 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.1%
Kasyanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kasyanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 13:30A. Lushchyk—4911101A. Kasyanov—11114123
WSep 3 · 16:30A. Lushchyk—11112133A. Kasyanov—7311111
LSep 3 · 13:00A. Lushchyk—3780A. Kasyanov—1111113
LSep 1 · 17:05A. Lushchyk—114391A. Kasyanov—71111113
WSep 1 · 14:30A. Lushchyk—71111113A. Kasyanov—117851
LAug 27 · 15:00A. Lushchyk—3990A. Kasyanov—1111113
LAug 25 · 15:30A. Lushchyk—831191A. Kasyanov—11116113
LAug 25 · 14:30A. Lushchyk—351171A. Kasyanov—11119113
WAug 18 · 15:00A. Lushchyk—71311113A. Kasyanov—1111981
LAug 14 · 13:30A. Lushchyk—91111172A. Kasyanov—111166113
A. Lushchyk10
LSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470LSep 4 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.638760LSep 4 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.6111521S. Chuhai2.2061142WSep 4 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.5010570A. Lushchyk1.501211113WSep 4 · 12:30A. Lushchyk3.2511711113I. Fedoryshyn1.33911191WSep 3 · 17:30A. Lushchyk3.4081111113I. Fedoryshyn1.30117581WSep 3 · 16:30A. Lushchyk2.6311112133A. Kasyanov1.447311111LSep 3 · 15:30S. Chuhai2.25811811123A. Lushchyk1.57117118102WSep 3 · 14:30A. Lushchyk1.57711411113S. Chuhai2.2511311382LSep 3 · 13:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.633780
A. Kasyanov10
LSep 4 · 17:00A. Kasyanov1.678930S. Chuhai2.101111113WSep 4 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.638760WSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.251113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5771190LSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.571111911113A. Kasyanov2.2513711782WSep 4 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.201117141A. Kasyanov1.6191111163LSep 3 · 17:00S. Chuhai2.2511129113A. Kasyanov1.576101181LSep 3 · 16:30A. Lushchyk2.6311112133A. Kasyanov1.447311111LSep 3 · 15:00I. Fedoryshyn1.801111113A. Kasyanov1.918780WSep 3 · 14:00A. Kasyanov2.251111133I. Fedoryshyn1.5797110WSep 3 · 13:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.633780
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