TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073027
Played Sep 4Finished
Serhii Chuhai
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012511711––––
Andrii Lushchyk
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:58 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeAndrii Lushchyk to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Chuhai above · Andrii Lushchyk below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 56 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Andrii Lushchyk at 64.1%
56 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Chuhai 54–103 Andrii Lushchyk Serhii Chuhai has won 54 of their 157 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Lushchyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
54-103 in 157
Lushchyk
Correct
gap of 49 in 157, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chuhai 1711 vs Lushchyk 1748
Lushchyk
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chuhai 40% vs Lushchyk 60%
Lushchyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chuhai 30% vs Lushchyk 50%
Lushchyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chuhai -2 · Lushchyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Lushchyk) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChuhai 2.50 / Lushchyk 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Lushchyk)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13073027
Chuhai2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 65 of 214
Down 0–1, comes back18% 24 of 133
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 76
Lushchyk1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 115 of 171
Up 2–0, closes it97% 65 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it80% 85 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChuhai3wins
AwayLushchyk7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLushchyk leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChuhai60%3 of 5
AwayLushchyk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chuhai5Lushchyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Chuhai4Lushchyk6n = 10Lushchyk took 6 of 10
S3Chuhai3Lushchyk7n = 10Lushchyk took 7 of 10
S4Chuhai1Lushchyk5n = 6Lushchyk took 5 of 6
S5Chuhai2Lushchyk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricChuhaiLushchykC − LBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.038.1−4.1per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChuhaiLushchykBasisWin rate · lifetime482 / 957 vs 374 / 80650.4%46.4%482 / 957 vs 374 / 806Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LushchykChuhai 2.50/Lushchyk 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Lushchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lushchyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 14:30S. Chuhai—11311382A. Lushchyk—711411113
LSep 1 · 13:30S. Chuhai—3840A. Lushchyk—1111113
LAug 25 · 16:30S. Chuhai—1011471A. Lushchyk—12911113
WAug 25 · 13:00S. Chuhai—111198113A. Lushchyk—77111132
WAug 18 · 16:00S. Chuhai—1111113A. Lushchyk—7580
LAug 11 · 17:19S. Chuhai—118491A. Lushchyk—61111113
LAug 11 · 13:30S. Chuhai—13840A. Lushchyk—1511113
LAug 6 · 12:00S. Chuhai—81191142A. Lushchyk—117119113
LJul 31 · 11:00S. Chuhai—10970A. Lushchyk—1211113
WJul 24 · 05:00S. Chuhai—1151110113A. Lushchyk—51181272
S. Chuhai10
WSep 7 · 08:30O. Syksa4.00471181S. Chuhai1.2211116113WSep 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.335580S. Chuhai1.201111113WSep 7 · 04:30D. Prylepa3.00119471S. Chuhai1.3691111113WSep 4 · 17:00A. Kasyanov1.678930S. Chuhai2.101111113LSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162WSep 4 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.6111521S. Chuhai2.2061142LSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.50491171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011115113LSep 4 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.201117141A. Kasyanov1.6191111163WSep 3 · 17:00S. Chuhai2.2511129113A. Kasyanov1.576101181LSep 3 · 16:00S. Chuhai2.50961171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011116113
A. Lushchyk10
LSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470LSep 4 · 16:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.638760LSep 4 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.6111521S. Chuhai2.2061142LSep 4 · 13:30A. Lushchyk2.634911101A. Kasyanov1.4411114123WSep 4 · 12:30A. Lushchyk3.2511711113I. Fedoryshyn1.33911191WSep 3 · 17:30A. Lushchyk3.4081111113I. Fedoryshyn1.30117581WSep 3 · 16:30A. Lushchyk2.6311112133A. Kasyanov1.447311111LSep 3 · 15:30S. Chuhai2.25811811123A. Lushchyk1.57117118102WSep 3 · 14:30A. Lushchyk1.57711411113S. Chuhai2.2511311382LSep 3 · 13:00A. Kasyanov1.441111113A. Lushchyk2.633780
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