TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067035
Played Sep 3Finished
Serhii Chuhai
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911611116711––
Ivan Fedoryshyn
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:09 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeIvan Fedoryshyn to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Chuhai above · Ivan Fedoryshyn below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 72 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Ivan Fedoryshyn at 65.7%
72 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Chuhai 89–141 Ivan Fedoryshyn Serhii Chuhai has won 89 of their 230 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:09What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Fedoryshyn
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
89-141 in 230
Fedoryshyn
Correct
gap of 52 in 230, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chuhai 1710 vs Fedoryshyn 1882
Fedoryshyn
Correct
both rated, 172 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chuhai 40% vs Fedoryshyn 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chuhai 30% vs Fedoryshyn 60%
Fedoryshyn
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chuhai +1 · Fedoryshyn +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Fedoryshyn)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fedoryshyn form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChuhai 2.50 / Fedoryshyn 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Fedoryshyn)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13067035
Chuhai2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 62 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back17% 22 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 75
Fedoryshyn1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite72% won 202 of 279
Up 2–0, closes it98% 121 of 124
Up 1–0, closes it85% 163 of 192
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChuhai3wins
AwayFedoryshyn7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderFedoryshyn leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChuhai60%3 of 5
AwayFedoryshyn100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chuhai5Fedoryshyn5n = 10split evenly
S2Chuhai3Fedoryshyn7n = 10Fedoryshyn took 7 of 10
S3Chuhai4Fedoryshyn6n = 10Fedoryshyn took 6 of 10
S4Chuhai1Fedoryshyn2n = 3Fedoryshyn took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricChuhaiFedoryshynC − FBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match29.535.0−5.5per matchSweeps34−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChuhaiFedoryshynBasisWin rate · lifetime481 / 955 vs 564 / 84250.4%67%481 / 955 vs 564 / 842Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FedoryshynChuhai 2.50/Fedoryshyn 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Fedoryshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fedoryshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 12:30S. Chuhai—3580I. Fedoryshyn—1111113
WAug 18 · 14:30S. Chuhai—1111113I. Fedoryshyn—9880
LAug 13 · 13:30S. Chuhai—119781I. Fedoryshyn—81111113
WAug 11 · 15:00S. Chuhai—1111113I. Fedoryshyn—9880
LAug 7 · 08:00S. Chuhai—7340I. Fedoryshyn—1111113
LAug 6 · 16:00S. Chuhai—134141322I. Fedoryshyn—11111611113
LAug 4 · 13:30S. Chuhai—7980I. Fedoryshyn—1111113
LJul 16 · 12:00S. Chuhai—61111101I. Fedoryshyn—11137123
WJul 14 · 12:00S. Chuhai—1111113I. Fedoryshyn—7690
LJul 13 · 11:30S. Chuhai—84110I. Fedoryshyn—1111133
S. Chuhai10
WSep 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.335580S. Chuhai1.201111113WSep 7 · 04:30D. Prylepa3.00119471S. Chuhai1.3691111113WSep 4 · 17:00A. Kasyanov1.678930S. Chuhai2.101111113LSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162WSep 4 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.6111521S. Chuhai2.2061142LSep 4 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.5010570A. Lushchyk1.501211113LSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.50491171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011115113LSep 4 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.201117141A. Kasyanov1.6191111163WSep 3 · 17:00S. Chuhai2.2511129113A. Kasyanov1.576101181WSep 3 · 15:30S. Chuhai2.25811811123A. Lushchyk1.57117118102
I. Fedoryshyn10
WSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470WSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162LSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.251113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5771190WSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.571111911113A. Kasyanov2.2513711782WSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.50491171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011115113LSep 4 · 12:30A. Lushchyk3.2511711113I. Fedoryshyn1.33911191LSep 3 · 17:30A. Lushchyk3.4081111113I. Fedoryshyn1.30117581WSep 3 · 15:00I. Fedoryshyn1.801111113A. Kasyanov1.918780LSep 3 · 14:00A. Kasyanov2.251111133I. Fedoryshyn1.5797110WSep 3 · 13:30I. Fedoryshyn1.50111111113S. Chuhai2.50138961
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