TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067554
Played Sep 3Finished
Ivan Fedoryshyn
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1113118119116––
Serhii Chuhai
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:10 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeIvan Fedoryshyn to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Fedoryshyn above · Serhii Chuhai below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 80 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Ivan Fedoryshyn at 65.7%
80 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Fedoryshyn 141–89 Serhii Chuhai Serhii Chuhai has won 89 of their 230 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:10What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Fedoryshyn
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
141-89 in 230
Fedoryshyn
Correct
gap of 52 in 230, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fedoryshyn 1872 vs Chuhai 1717
Fedoryshyn
Correct
both rated, 155 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fedoryshyn 60% vs Chuhai 20%
Fedoryshyn
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fedoryshyn 50% vs Chuhai 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fedoryshyn -2 · Chuhai +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Fedoryshyn)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chuhai form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFedoryshyn 1.50 / Chuhai 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Fedoryshyn)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13067554
Fedoryshyn1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite72% won 202 of 279
Up 2–0, closes it98% 121 of 124
Up 1–0, closes it85% 163 of 192
Chuhai2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 62 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back17% 22 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFedoryshyn7wins
AwayChuhai3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderFedoryshyn leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFedoryshyn100%5 of 5
AwayChuhai60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fedoryshyn5Chuhai5n = 10split evenly
S2Fedoryshyn7Chuhai3n = 10Fedoryshyn took 7 of 10
S3Fedoryshyn6Chuhai4n = 10Fedoryshyn took 6 of 10
S4Fedoryshyn2Chuhai1n = 3Fedoryshyn took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricFedoryshynChuhaiF − CBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.029.5+5.5per matchSweeps43+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFedoryshynChuhaiBasisWin rate · lifetime564 / 841 vs 482 / 95567.1%50.5%564 / 841 vs 482 / 955Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FedoryshynFedoryshyn 1.50/Chuhai 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Fedoryshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Fedoryshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn—1111113S. Chuhai—3580
LAug 18 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn—9880S. Chuhai—1111113
WAug 13 · 13:30I. Fedoryshyn—81111113S. Chuhai—119781
LAug 11 · 15:00I. Fedoryshyn—9880S. Chuhai—1111113
WAug 7 · 08:00I. Fedoryshyn—1111113S. Chuhai—7340
WAug 6 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn—11111611113S. Chuhai—134141322
WAug 4 · 13:30I. Fedoryshyn—1111113S. Chuhai—7980
WJul 16 · 12:00I. Fedoryshyn—11137123S. Chuhai—61111101
LJul 14 · 12:00I. Fedoryshyn—7690S. Chuhai—1111113
WJul 13 · 11:30I. Fedoryshyn—1111133S. Chuhai—84110
I. Fedoryshyn10
WSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.255470WSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162LSep 4 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.251113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5771190WSep 4 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.571111911113A. Kasyanov2.2513711782WSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.50491171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011115113LSep 4 · 12:30A. Lushchyk3.2511711113I. Fedoryshyn1.33911191LSep 3 · 17:30A. Lushchyk3.4081111113I. Fedoryshyn1.30117581WSep 3 · 16:00S. Chuhai2.50961171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011116113WSep 3 · 15:00I. Fedoryshyn1.801111113A. Kasyanov1.918780LSep 3 · 14:00A. Kasyanov2.251111133I. Fedoryshyn1.5797110
S. Chuhai10
WSep 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.335580S. Chuhai1.201111113WSep 7 · 04:30D. Prylepa3.00119471S. Chuhai1.3691111113WSep 4 · 17:00A. Kasyanov1.678930S. Chuhai2.101111113LSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162WSep 4 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.6111521S. Chuhai2.2061142LSep 4 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.5010570A. Lushchyk1.501211113LSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.50491171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011115113LSep 4 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.201117141A. Kasyanov1.6191111163WSep 3 · 17:00S. Chuhai2.2511129113A. Kasyanov1.576101181LSep 3 · 16:00S. Chuhai2.50961171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011116113
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S. Chuhai
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