TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088860
Played Sep 7Finished
Dmytro Prylepa
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119911411711––
Serhii Chuhai
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:48 and never touched — 72.8% is still 72.8%
Graded at full timeSerhii Chuhai to win
72.8%
72.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Prylepa above · Serhii Chuhai below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 73 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Serhii Chuhai at 72.8%
73 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Prylepa 18–34 Serhii Chuhai Dmytro Prylepa has won 18 of their 52 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:48What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Chuhai
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-34 in 52
Chuhai
Correct
gap of 16 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prylepa 1523 vs Chuhai 1705
Chuhai
Correct
both rated, 182 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prylepa 40% vs Chuhai 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prylepa 30% vs Chuhai 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prylepa +2 · Chuhai +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Chuhai)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chuhai form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrylepa 3.00 / Chuhai 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Chuhai)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13088860
Prylepa3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog30% won 47 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back10% 9 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 66
Chuhai1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite73% won 180 of 246
Up 2–0, closes it94% 98 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it86% 134 of 156
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrylepa4wins
AwayChuhai6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderChuhai leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrylepa80%4 of 5
AwayChuhai100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prylepa5Chuhai5n = 10split evenly
S2Prylepa3Chuhai7n = 10Chuhai took 7 of 10
S3Prylepa5Chuhai5n = 10split evenly
S4Prylepa5Chuhai2n = 7Prylepa took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrylepaChuhaiP − CBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.339.5−4.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrylepaChuhaiBasisWin rate · lifetime395 / 801 vs 484 / 96149.3%50.4%395 / 801 vs 484 / 961Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChuhaiPrylepa 3.00/Chuhai 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.8%
Chuhai · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chuhai won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 24 · 07:00D. Prylepa—41181162S. Chuhai—118118113
WJul 27 · 08:30D. Prylepa—11411113S. Chuhai—811871
LJul 6 · 05:58D. Prylepa—5950S. Chuhai—1111113
LJun 30 · 08:00D. Prylepa—121101582S. Chuhai—10111213113
LJun 18 · 05:30D. Prylepa—491171S. Chuhai—11118113
WJun 16 · 05:30D. Prylepa—111012153S. Chuhai—91210131
LJun 9 · 08:30D. Prylepa—105100S. Chuhai—1211123
WJun 3 · 09:00D. Prylepa—1112123S. Chuhai—710100
LMay 25 · 09:30D. Prylepa—791151S. Chuhai—11118113
WMay 19 · 09:00D. Prylepa—11117113S. Chuhai—991151
D. Prylepa10
LSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.61115551S. Maliuk2.2091111113WSep 6 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.3381111113O. Lyman3.25117881WSep 6 · 09:00V. Tatarnykov1.5011116762D. Prylepa2.50791111113LSep 6 · 08:00D. Prylepa2.50111301162O. Syksa1.50215116113LSep 6 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531211113D. Prylepa2.3810570LSep 6 · 05:30D. Prylepa2.6331141172S. Aristarkhov1.44118117113LSep 4 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.5767111192S. Maliuk2.25111168113LSep 4 · 09:00O. Syksa1.4411117123D. Prylepa2.638911101WSep 4 · 08:00D. Prylepa1.3611611113O. Lyman3.00711651LSep 4 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531181110133D. Prylepa2.38911512112
S. Chuhai10
WSep 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.335580S. Chuhai1.201111113WSep 4 · 17:00A. Kasyanov1.678930S. Chuhai2.101111113LSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162WSep 4 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.6111521S. Chuhai2.2061142LSep 4 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.5010570A. Lushchyk1.501211113LSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.50491171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011115113LSep 4 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.201117141A. Kasyanov1.6191111163WSep 3 · 17:00S. Chuhai2.2511129113A. Kasyanov1.576101181LSep 3 · 16:00S. Chuhai2.50961171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011116113WSep 3 · 15:30S. Chuhai2.25811811123A. Lushchyk1.57117118102
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