TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084295
Played Sep 6Finished
Volodymyr Tatarnykov
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117119611711611
Dmytro Prylepa
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:50 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Tatarnykov to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVolodymyr Tatarnykov above · Dmytro Prylepa below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 90 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Volodymyr Tatarnykov at 65.7%
90 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Tatarnykov 23–19 Dmytro Prylepa Dmytro Prylepa has won 19 of their 42 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:50What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Tatarnykov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-19 in 42
Tatarnykov
Wrong
gap of 4 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tatarnykov 1620 vs Prylepa 1500
Tatarnykov
Wrong
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tatarnykov 60% vs Prylepa 0%
Tatarnykov
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tatarnykov 40% vs Prylepa 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tatarnykov -1 · Prylepa -5
Prylepa
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Tatarnykov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prylepa form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTatarnykov 1.50 / Prylepa 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Tatarnykov)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13084295
Tatarnykov1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite70% won 53 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it81% 35 of 43
Prylepa2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 47 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back10% 9 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTatarnykov5wins
AwayPrylepa5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTatarnykov83.3%5 of 6
AwayPrylepa100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tatarnykov6Prylepa4n = 10Tatarnykov took 6 of 10
S2Tatarnykov8Prylepa1n = 9Tatarnykov took 8 of 9
S3Tatarnykov6Prylepa3n = 9Tatarnykov took 6 of 9
S4Tatarnykov0Prylepa5n = 5Prylepa took 5 of 5
S5Tatarnykov1Prylepa2n = 3Prylepa took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTatarnykovPrylepaT − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.530.6+4.9per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTatarnykovPrylepaBasisWin rate · lifetime217 / 414 vs 393 / 79952.4%49.2%217 / 414 vs 393 / 799Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TatarnykovTatarnykov 1.50/Prylepa 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Tatarnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Prylepa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 25 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov—00D. Prylepa—21
WJul 11 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov—1111113D. Prylepa—6790
WJun 13 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov—1111113D. Prylepa—5560
LMay 9 · 17:40V. Tatarnykov—715111282D. Prylepa—1113414113
LMay 9 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov—912117102D. Prylepa—1110611123
LMay 2 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov—1110771D. Prylepa—81211113
WApr 25 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov—1111113D. Prylepa—4950
WApr 19 · 09:00V. Tatarnykov—111197113D. Prylepa—59111182
WFeb 28 · 18:19V. Tatarnykov—1111113D. Prylepa—4980
LFeb 28 · 16:30V. Tatarnykov—6111191D. Prylepa—11313113
V. Tatarnykov10
WSep 6 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov2.00812114133M. Hubenko1.731110911112LSep 6 · 07:30V. Tatarnykov2.251111881S. Aristarkhov1.5713311113WSep 6 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov1.5311118113O. Syksa2.38881151LSep 6 · 04:30V. Tatarnykov1.14681111O. Lyman5.0011114113WSep 5 · 17:39D. Kuzmenko3.401399101V. Tatarnykov1.30111111123WSep 5 · 16:30V. Tatarnykov1.50611118113A. Vasylets2.5011671162LSep 5 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov2.38111831S. Aristarkhov1.531191163LSep 5 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov2.0010960M. Hubenko1.731211113LSep 5 · 13:00V. Tatarnykov1.307111071D. Kuzmenko3.4011412113LAug 23 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov1.331011891O. Ziakun3.2512711113
D. Prylepa10
LSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.61115551S. Maliuk2.2091111113LSep 7 · 04:30D. Prylepa3.00119471S. Chuhai1.3691111113WSep 6 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.3381111113O. Lyman3.25117881LSep 6 · 08:00D. Prylepa2.50111301162O. Syksa1.50215116113LSep 6 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531211113D. Prylepa2.3810570LSep 6 · 05:30D. Prylepa2.6331141172S. Aristarkhov1.44118117113LSep 4 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.5767111192S. Maliuk2.25111168113LSep 4 · 09:00O. Syksa1.4411117123D. Prylepa2.638911101WSep 4 · 08:00D. Prylepa1.3611611113O. Lyman3.00711651LSep 4 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531181110133D. Prylepa2.38911512112
Upcoming Matches
V. Tatarnykov
Nothing scheduled
D. Prylepa
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