TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079324
Played Sep 5Finished
Volodymyr Tatarnykov
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611116117811116
Andrii Vasylets
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:48 and never touched — 61.5% is still 61.5%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Tatarnykov to win
61.5%
61.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Tatarnykov above · Andrii Vasylets below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 88 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Volodymyr Tatarnykov at 61.5%
88 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Tatarnykov 42–22 Andrii Vasylets Andrii Vasylets has won 22 of their 64 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:48What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Tatarnykov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-22 in 64
Tatarnykov
Correct
gap of 20 in 64, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tatarnykov 1574 vs Vasylets 1637
Vasylets
Wrong
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tatarnykov 20% vs Vasylets 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tatarnykov 60% vs Vasylets 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tatarnykov -4 · Vasylets -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Tatarnykov) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasylets form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTatarnykov 1.50 / Vasylets 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Tatarnykov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13079324
Tatarnykov1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 51 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it81% 35 of 43
Vasylets2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 55 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back18% 20 of 109
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTatarnykov5wins
AwayVasylets5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTatarnykov60%3 of 5
AwayVasylets60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tatarnykov5Vasylets5n = 10split evenly
S2Tatarnykov3Vasylets7n = 10Vasylets took 7 of 10
S3Tatarnykov5Vasylets5n = 10split evenly
S4Tatarnykov5Vasylets2n = 7Tatarnykov took 5 of 7
S5Tatarnykov2Vasylets2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTatarnykovVasyletsT − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.339.0+0.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTatarnykovVasyletsBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 409 vs 236 / 52552.3%45%214 / 409 vs 236 / 525Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TatarnykovTatarnykov 1.50/Vasylets 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Tatarnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Tatarnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 22 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov—1114113A. Vasylets—51280
LAug 8 · 17:33V. Tatarnykov—11512582A. Vasylets—4111011113
WAug 8 · 16:30V. Tatarnykov—91111103A. Vasylets—116781
WJul 25 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov—10101112113A. Vasylets—121251072
LJul 11 · 12:30V. Tatarnykov—117911122A. Vasylets—911118133
WJun 27 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov—119911113A. Vasylets—91111962
LJun 20 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov—6820A. Vasylets—1111113
WJun 13 · 16:30V. Tatarnykov—11138113A. Vasylets—5111141
LJun 6 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov—8790A. Vasylets—1111113
LMay 23 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov—1061381A. Vasylets—121111113
V. Tatarnykov10
WSep 6 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov2.00812114133M. Hubenko1.731110911112LSep 6 · 09:00V. Tatarnykov1.5011116762D. Prylepa2.50791111113LSep 6 · 07:30V. Tatarnykov2.251111881S. Aristarkhov1.5713311113WSep 6 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov1.5311118113O. Syksa2.38881151LSep 6 · 04:30V. Tatarnykov1.14681111O. Lyman5.0011114113WSep 5 · 17:39D. Kuzmenko3.401399101V. Tatarnykov1.30111111123LSep 5 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov2.38111831S. Aristarkhov1.531191163LSep 5 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov2.0010960M. Hubenko1.731211113LSep 5 · 13:00V. Tatarnykov1.307111071D. Kuzmenko3.4011412113LAug 23 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov1.331011891O. Ziakun3.2512711113
A. Vasylets10
LSep 5 · 15:00A. Vasylets2.38651171M. Hubenko1.5311118103LSep 5 · 13:30A. Vasylets2.50411471S. Aristarkhov1.5011111113LSep 5 · 12:00A. Vasylets1.5011610101D. Kuzmenko2.5081112123WSep 2 · 11:30A. Vasylets2.0011119113O. Syksa1.73761191LSep 2 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.501211123A. Vasylets2.50108100WSep 2 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.50691151A. Vasylets1.5011115113LSep 2 · 06:30A. Vasylets1.44114127102D. Kuzmenko2.639111011123WSep 2 · 05:30O. Kurylenko3.75951151A. Vasylets1.2511117113WAug 30 · 17:43A. Vasylets2.631111113S. Aristarkhov1.447690WAug 30 · 16:30S. Aristarkhov1.4411129652A. Vasylets2.636101111113
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