TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13083784
Played Sep 5Finished
Dmitro Kuzmenko
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
13119119111012––
Volodymyr Tatarnykov
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingDmitro Kuzmenko above · Volodymyr Tatarnykov below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 86 set 4, 10-12
86 points played in total.
H2H Dmitro Kuzmenko 6–15 Volodymyr Tatarnykov Dmitro Kuzmenko has won 6 of their 21 meetings.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Tatarnykov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tatarnykov form (20%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmenko 3.40 / Tatarnykov 1.30
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Tatarnykov)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13083784
Kuzmenko3.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 108 of 311
Down 0–1, comes back18% 32 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 109
Tatarnykov1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 51 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it81% 35 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmenko3wins
AwayTatarnykov7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTatarnykov leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmenko20%1 of 5
AwayTatarnykov60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmenko5Tatarnykov5n = 10split evenly
S2Kuzmenko3Tatarnykov7n = 10Tatarnykov took 7 of 10
S3Kuzmenko4Tatarnykov6n = 10Tatarnykov took 6 of 10
S4Kuzmenko3Tatarnykov6n = 9Tatarnykov took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmenkoTatarnykovK − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.241.1−4.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmenkoTatarnykovBasisWin rate · lifetime376 / 915 vs 215 / 41041.1%52.4%376 / 915 vs 215 / 410Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TatarnykovKuzmenko 3.40/Tatarnykov 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.7%
Tatarnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tatarnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 13:00D. Kuzmenko—11412113V. Tatarnykov—7111071
LAug 22 · 17:28D. Kuzmenko—9850V. Tatarnykov—1111113
LAug 22 · 13:00D. Kuzmenko—1210641V. Tatarnykov—101211113
WAug 9 · 06:00D. Kuzmenko—712113113V. Tatarnykov—111091152
LJul 25 · 13:00D. Kuzmenko—116861V. Tatarnykov—81111113
LJul 11 · 13:30D. Kuzmenko—1113931V. Tatarnykov—81511113
LJun 6 · 17:34D. Kuzmenko—11981162V. Tatarnykov—811116113
WJun 6 · 15:30D. Kuzmenko—111211143V. Tatarnykov—13109121
LFeb 14 · 17:30D. Kuzmenko—9111181V. Tatarnykov—1113893
LJan 31 · 18:30D. Kuzmenko—611731V. Tatarnykov—1161173
D. Kuzmenko10
LSep 7 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.005670O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 5 · 16:00M. Hubenko1.28138611133D. Kuzmenko3.501111119112LSep 5 · 14:30S. Aristarkhov1.337111283D. Kuzmenko3.251141041WSep 5 · 13:00V. Tatarnykov1.307111071D. Kuzmenko3.4011412113WSep 5 · 12:00A. Vasylets1.5011610101D. Kuzmenko2.5081112123WSep 3 · 11:00O. Lyman3.258560D. Kuzmenko1.331111113WSep 3 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko2.384630D. Kuzmenko1.531111113WSep 3 · 08:30S. Maliuk1.8311711462D. Kuzmenko1.83511511113WSep 3 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.80119711102D. Kuzmenko1.91511113123WSep 3 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.107860D. Kuzmenko1.671111113
V. Tatarnykov10
WSep 6 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov2.00812114133M. Hubenko1.731110911112LSep 6 · 09:00V. Tatarnykov1.5011116762D. Prylepa2.50791111113LSep 6 · 07:30V. Tatarnykov2.251111881S. Aristarkhov1.5713311113WSep 6 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov1.5311118113O. Syksa2.38881151LSep 6 · 04:30V. Tatarnykov1.14681111O. Lyman5.0011114113WSep 5 · 16:30V. Tatarnykov1.50611118113A. Vasylets2.5011671162LSep 5 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov2.38111831S. Aristarkhov1.531191163LSep 5 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov2.0010960M. Hubenko1.731211113LSep 5 · 13:00V. Tatarnykov1.307111071D. Kuzmenko3.4011412113LAug 23 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov1.331011891O. Ziakun3.2512711113
Upcoming Matches
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V. Tatarnykov
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