TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078970
Played Sep 5Finished
Maksym Hubenko
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
13118116111191311
Dmitro Kuzmenko
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:48 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Hubenko above · Dmitro Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 104 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 79.4%
104 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Hubenko 47–11 Dmitro Kuzmenko Dmitro Kuzmenko has won 11 of their 58 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:48What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Hubenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-11 in 58
Hubenko
Correct
gap of 36 in 58, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hubenko 1701 vs Kuzmenko 1580
Hubenko
Correct
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hubenko 80% vs Kuzmenko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hubenko 90% vs Kuzmenko 70%
Hubenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hubenko +2 · Kuzmenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Hubenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubenko 1.28 / Kuzmenko 3.50
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Hubenko)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13078970
Hubenko1.28
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite74% won 240 of 325
Up 2–0, closes it94% 119 of 126
Up 1–0, closes it84% 166 of 198
Kuzmenko3.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 108 of 311
Down 0–1, comes back18% 32 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 109
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHubenko9wins
AwayKuzmenko1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHubenko100%7 of 7
AwayKuzmenko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hubenko7Kuzmenko3n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10
S2Hubenko7Kuzmenko3n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10
S3Hubenko7Kuzmenko3n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10
S4Hubenko5Kuzmenko2n = 7Hubenko took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHubenkoKuzmenkoH − KBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.635.5+4.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubenkoKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime542 / 1020 vs 376 / 91653.1%41.1%542 / 1020 vs 376 / 916Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoHubenko 1.28/Kuzmenko 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 17 · 09:30M. Hubenko—1111113D. Kuzmenko—7960
WAug 16 · 12:30M. Hubenko—81111113D. Kuzmenko—119491
WAug 11 · 09:30M. Hubenko—111177133D. Kuzmenko—661111112
WAug 9 · 05:00M. Hubenko—1111113D. Kuzmenko—6480
LAug 5 · 07:30M. Hubenko—981121D. Kuzmenko—11119113
WJul 29 · 04:30M. Hubenko—11126113D. Kuzmenko—8101181
WJul 27 · 08:00M. Hubenko—12156113D. Kuzmenko—10131191
WJul 23 · 10:00M. Hubenko—481212143D. Kuzmenko—11111010122
WJul 22 · 06:30M. Hubenko—11811113D. Kuzmenko—611981
WJul 18 · 13:00M. Hubenko—1111133D. Kuzmenko—79110
M. Hubenko10
LSep 6 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov2.00812114133M. Hubenko1.731110911112WSep 6 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.831113113S. Aristarkhov1.8361160WSep 6 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.3011311113O. Lyman3.40411791WSep 6 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531211113D. Prylepa2.3810570WSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.5711911133O. Syksa2.256115111LSep 5 · 17:10M. Hubenko1.83121160S. Aristarkhov1.831413113WSep 5 · 15:00A. Vasylets2.38651171M. Hubenko1.5311118103WSep 5 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov2.0010960M. Hubenko1.731211113LSep 5 · 12:30S. Aristarkhov1.836111112113M. Hubenko1.8311491442WSep 4 · 10:30O. Syksa2.50611691M. Hubenko1.5011611113
D. Kuzmenko10
LSep 7 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.005670O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 5 · 17:39D. Kuzmenko3.401399101V. Tatarnykov1.30111111123LSep 5 · 14:30S. Aristarkhov1.337111283D. Kuzmenko3.251141041WSep 5 · 13:00V. Tatarnykov1.307111071D. Kuzmenko3.4011412113WSep 5 · 12:00A. Vasylets1.5011610101D. Kuzmenko2.5081112123WSep 3 · 11:00O. Lyman3.258560D. Kuzmenko1.331111113WSep 3 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko2.384630D. Kuzmenko1.531111113WSep 3 · 08:30S. Maliuk1.8311711462D. Kuzmenko1.83511511113WSep 3 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.80119711102D. Kuzmenko1.91511113123WSep 3 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.107860D. Kuzmenko1.671111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Hubenko
Nothing scheduled
D. Kuzmenko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.