TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13083658
Played Sep 5Finished
Maksym Hubenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
12141113611––––
Serhii Aristarkhov
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingMaksym Hubenko above · Serhii Aristarkhov below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 67 set 3, 6-11
67 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Hubenko 28–26 Serhii Aristarkhov Serhii Aristarkhov has won 26 of their 54 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hubenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Aristarkhov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubenko 1.83 / Aristarkhov 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hubenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13083658
Hubenko1.83
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Aristarkhov1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHubenko6wins
AwayAristarkhov4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHubenko60%3 of 5
AwayAristarkhov40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hubenko5Aristarkhov5n = 10split evenly
S2Hubenko4Aristarkhov6n = 10Aristarkhov took 6 of 10
S3Hubenko6Aristarkhov4n = 10Hubenko took 6 of 10
S4Hubenko6Aristarkhov2n = 8Hubenko took 6 of 8
S5Hubenko2Aristarkhov2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHubenkoAristarkhovH − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.839.5+2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubenkoAristarkhovBasisWin rate · lifetime542 / 1020 vs 326 / 59553.1%54.8%542 / 1020 vs 326 / 595Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoHubenko 1.83/Aristarkhov 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Aristarkhov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 12:30M. Hubenko—11491442S. Aristarkhov—6111112113
LAug 30 · 13:00M. Hubenko—9990S. Aristarkhov—1111113
WAug 16 · 14:30M. Hubenko—111111113S. Aristarkhov—341351
WAug 7 · 08:30M. Hubenko—17612113S. Aristarkhov—15111051
WJul 26 · 06:30M. Hubenko—514117133S. Aristarkhov—1112811112
WJul 19 · 05:00M. Hubenko—1111113S. Aristarkhov—2690
LJul 17 · 05:00M. Hubenko—7411111S. Aristarkhov—11114133
LJul 5 · 06:30M. Hubenko—1261011112S. Aristarkhov—1011124133
WJul 4 · 12:00M. Hubenko—71711113S. Aristarkhov—1115571
WJun 27 · 15:00M. Hubenko—761211113S. Aristarkhov—111110972
M. Hubenko10
LSep 6 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov2.00812114133M. Hubenko1.731110911112WSep 6 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.831113113S. Aristarkhov1.8361160WSep 6 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.3011311113O. Lyman3.40411791WSep 6 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531211113D. Prylepa2.3810570WSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.5711911133O. Syksa2.256115111WSep 5 · 16:00M. Hubenko1.28138611133D. Kuzmenko3.501111119112WSep 5 · 15:00A. Vasylets2.38651171M. Hubenko1.5311118103WSep 5 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov2.0010960M. Hubenko1.731211113LSep 5 · 12:30S. Aristarkhov1.836111112113M. Hubenko1.8311491442WSep 4 · 10:30O. Syksa2.50611691M. Hubenko1.5011611113
S. Aristarkhov10
LSep 6 · 11:30S. Aristarkhov1.6111971142O. Syksa2.2031111373LSep 6 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.831113113S. Aristarkhov1.8361160WSep 6 · 07:30V. Tatarnykov2.251111881S. Aristarkhov1.5713311113WSep 6 · 06:30S. Aristarkhov1.1471512113O. Lyman5.0011131091WSep 6 · 05:30D. Prylepa2.6331141172S. Aristarkhov1.44118117113WSep 5 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov2.38111831S. Aristarkhov1.531191163WSep 5 · 14:30S. Aristarkhov1.337111283D. Kuzmenko3.251141041WSep 5 · 13:30A. Vasylets2.50411471S. Aristarkhov1.5011111113WSep 5 · 12:30S. Aristarkhov1.836111112113M. Hubenko1.8311491442LAug 30 · 17:43A. Vasylets2.631111113S. Aristarkhov1.447690
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