TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084089
Played Sep 6Finished
Volodymyr Tatarnykov
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
81112101194111311
Maksym Hubenko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:01 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVolodymyr Tatarnykov above · Maksym Hubenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 100 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 54.1%
100 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Tatarnykov 15–19 Maksym Hubenko Volodymyr Tatarnykov has won 15 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:01What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hubenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-19 in 34
Hubenko
Wrong
gap of 4 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tatarnykov 1606 vs Hubenko 1736
Hubenko
Wrong
both rated, 130 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tatarnykov 40% vs Hubenko 80%
Hubenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tatarnykov 30% vs Hubenko 80%
Hubenko
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tatarnykov -2 · Hubenko +4
Hubenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Hubenko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hubenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTatarnykov 2.00 / Hubenko 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Hubenko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13084089
Tatarnykov2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog28% won 21 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back11% 5 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 32
Hubenko1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite74% won 243 of 329
Up 2–0, closes it95% 121 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it84% 169 of 201
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTatarnykov7wins
AwayHubenko3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTatarnykov leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTatarnykov80%4 of 5
AwayHubenko40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tatarnykov5Hubenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Tatarnykov2Hubenko8n = 10Hubenko took 8 of 10
S3Tatarnykov6Hubenko4n = 10Tatarnykov took 6 of 10
S4Tatarnykov5Hubenko2n = 7Tatarnykov took 5 of 7
S5Tatarnykov4Hubenko0n = 4Tatarnykov took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTatarnykovHubenkoT − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.039.2−0.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTatarnykovHubenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime217 / 415 vs 546 / 102452.3%53.3%217 / 415 vs 546 / 1024Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoTatarnykov 2.00/Hubenko 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.9%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Tatarnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 9 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov—2111112113M. Hubenko—111391092
LAug 8 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov—116961M. Hubenko—71111113
WJul 26 · 08:30V. Tatarnykov—31111123M. Hubenko—1197101
WJul 11 · 17:15V. Tatarnykov—1111113M. Hubenko—8680
WJul 11 · 14:30V. Tatarnykov—1210812113M. Hubenko—1012111082
WJun 27 · 17:15V. Tatarnykov—13811113M. Hubenko—1111771
WJun 27 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov—9101111113M. Hubenko—11125892
LJun 21 · 07:30V. Tatarnykov—9840M. Hubenko—1111113
LJun 13 · 13:00V. Tatarnykov—9870M. Hubenko—1111113
WJun 7 · 04:30V. Tatarnykov—116119113M. Hubenko—91151172
V. Tatarnykov10
LSep 6 · 09:00V. Tatarnykov1.5011116762D. Prylepa2.50791111113LSep 6 · 07:30V. Tatarnykov2.251111881S. Aristarkhov1.5713311113WSep 6 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov1.5311118113O. Syksa2.38881151LSep 6 · 04:30V. Tatarnykov1.14681111O. Lyman5.0011114113WSep 5 · 17:39D. Kuzmenko3.401399101V. Tatarnykov1.30111111123WSep 5 · 16:30V. Tatarnykov1.50611118113A. Vasylets2.5011671162LSep 5 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov2.38111831S. Aristarkhov1.531191163LSep 5 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov2.0010960M. Hubenko1.731211113LSep 5 · 13:00V. Tatarnykov1.307111071D. Kuzmenko3.4011412113LAug 23 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov1.331011891O. Ziakun3.2512711113
M. Hubenko10
WSep 6 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.831113113S. Aristarkhov1.8361160WSep 6 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.3011311113O. Lyman3.40411791WSep 6 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531211113D. Prylepa2.3810570WSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.5711911133O. Syksa2.256115111LSep 5 · 17:10M. Hubenko1.83121160S. Aristarkhov1.831413113WSep 5 · 16:00M. Hubenko1.28138611133D. Kuzmenko3.501111119112WSep 5 · 15:00A. Vasylets2.38651171M. Hubenko1.5311118103WSep 5 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov2.0010960M. Hubenko1.731211113LSep 5 · 12:30S. Aristarkhov1.836111112113M. Hubenko1.8311491442WSep 4 · 10:30O. Syksa2.50611691M. Hubenko1.5011611113
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