TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084240
Played Sep 6Finished
Volodymyr Tatarnykov
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118118811115––
Oleksandr Syksa
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:40 and never touched — 62.8% is still 62.8%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Tatarnykov to win
62.8%
62.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Tatarnykov above · Oleksandr Syksa below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 73 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Volodymyr Tatarnykov at 62.8%
73 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Tatarnykov 16–6 Oleksandr Syksa Oleksandr Syksa has won 6 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:40What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Tatarnykov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-6 in 22
Tatarnykov
Correct
gap of 10 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tatarnykov 1621 vs Syksa 1604
Tatarnykov
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tatarnykov 40% vs Syksa 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tatarnykov 50% vs Syksa 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tatarnykov -1 · Syksa -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Tatarnykov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tatarnykov form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTatarnykov 1.53 / Syksa 2.38
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Tatarnykov)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13084240
Tatarnykov1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite68% won 54 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it80% 36 of 45
Syksa2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog26% won 56 of 213
Down 0–1, comes back14% 20 of 145
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTatarnykov7wins
AwaySyksa3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTatarnykov leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTatarnykov83.3%5 of 6
AwaySyksa50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tatarnykov6Syksa4n = 10Tatarnykov took 6 of 10
S2Tatarnykov6Syksa4n = 10Tatarnykov took 6 of 10
S3Tatarnykov7Syksa3n = 10Tatarnykov took 7 of 10
S4Tatarnykov4Syksa4n = 8split evenly
S5Tatarnykov3Syksa2n = 5Tatarnykov took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTatarnykovSyksaT − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.840.0+2.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTatarnykovSyksaBasisWin rate · lifetime215 / 410 vs 576 / 110152.4%52.3%215 / 410 vs 576 / 1101Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TatarnykovTatarnykov 1.53/Syksa 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.8%
Tatarnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tatarnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov—11118113O. Syksa—881151
WAug 23 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov—1114113O. Syksa—41230
LAug 9 · 04:30V. Tatarnykov—71141322O. Syksa—1181111113
LAug 8 · 13:00V. Tatarnykov—5411111O. Syksa—11115133
LJul 26 · 05:00V. Tatarnykov—11561192O. Syksa—611115113
WJun 28 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov—915159123O. Syksa—11131311102
WJun 14 · 04:30V. Tatarnykov—113119113O. Syksa—91161182
WJun 7 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov—1311123O. Syksa—116100
WMay 24 · 09:30V. Tatarnykov—8111113113O. Syksa—11461582
WMay 10 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov—111311113O. Syksa—815881
V. Tatarnykov10
WSep 6 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov2.00812114133M. Hubenko1.731110911112LSep 6 · 09:00V. Tatarnykov1.5011116762D. Prylepa2.50791111113LSep 6 · 07:30V. Tatarnykov2.251111881S. Aristarkhov1.5713311113LSep 6 · 04:30V. Tatarnykov1.14681111O. Lyman5.0011114113WSep 5 · 17:39D. Kuzmenko3.401399101V. Tatarnykov1.30111111123WSep 5 · 16:30V. Tatarnykov1.50611118113A. Vasylets2.5011671162LSep 5 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov2.38111831S. Aristarkhov1.531191163LSep 5 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov2.0010960M. Hubenko1.731211113LSep 5 · 13:00V. Tatarnykov1.307111071D. Kuzmenko3.4011412113LAug 23 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov1.331011891O. Ziakun3.2512711113
O. Syksa10
WSep 7 · 05:00O. Syksa1.611110911113S. Maliuk2.2051211972WSep 6 · 11:30S. Aristarkhov1.6111971142O. Syksa2.2031111373WSep 6 · 10:00O. Syksa1.2011136113O. Lyman4.338111141WSep 6 · 08:00D. Prylepa2.50111301162O. Syksa1.50215116113LSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.5711911133O. Syksa2.256115111LSep 4 · 10:30O. Syksa2.50611691M. Hubenko1.5011611113WSep 4 · 09:00O. Syksa1.4411117123D. Prylepa2.638911101LSep 4 · 07:30O. Syksa1.6741181182O. Kurylenko2.10116118113WSep 4 · 06:00O. Syksa1.251111113O. Lyman3.757780LSep 4 · 04:30O. Syksa1.57117121162S. Maliuk2.25811149113
Upcoming Matches
V. Tatarnykov
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O. Syksa
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