TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072951
Played Sep 4Finished
Oleksandr Syksa
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181197111210––
Dmytro Prylepa
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:38 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Syksa above · Dmytro Prylepa below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 79 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 66.1%
79 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Syksa 94–32 Dmytro Prylepa Dmytro Prylepa has won 32 of their 126 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:38What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Syksa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
94-32 in 126
Syksa
Correct
gap of 62 in 126, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syksa 1575 vs Prylepa 1535
Syksa
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syksa 40% vs Prylepa 60%
Prylepa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syksa 70% vs Prylepa 40%
Syksa
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Syksa -1 · Prylepa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Syksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prylepa form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyksa 1.44 / Prylepa 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Syksa)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13072951
Syksa1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 231 of 335
Up 2–0, closes it94% 90 of 96
Up 1–0, closes it82% 153 of 186
Prylepa2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 47 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back10% 9 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyksa9wins
AwayPrylepa1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSyksa leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyksa85.7%6 of 7
AwayPrylepa0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syksa7Prylepa3n = 10Syksa took 7 of 10
S2Syksa9Prylepa1n = 10Syksa took 9 of 10
S3Syksa6Prylepa4n = 10Syksa took 6 of 10
S4Syksa6Prylepa1n = 7Syksa took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyksaPrylepaS − PBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.135.3+6.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyksaPrylepaBasisWin rate · lifetime576 / 1101 vs 397 / 80052.3%49.6%576 / 1101 vs 397 / 800Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaSyksa 1.44/Prylepa 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Syksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 07:00O. Syksa—11119133D. Prylepa—8711111
WAug 24 · 10:30O. Syksa—111111113D. Prylepa—135591
WAug 23 · 08:00O. Syksa—1111113D. Prylepa—8850
WAug 20 · 09:30O. Syksa—1311113D. Prylepa—11790
WAug 18 · 05:00O. Syksa—1111113D. Prylepa—9980
WAug 13 · 07:00O. Syksa—81311113D. Prylepa—1111971
LAug 12 · 05:00O. Syksa—11121011132D. Prylepa—6101213153
WAug 3 · 08:30O. Syksa—41311113D. Prylepa—1111841
WJul 27 · 10:30O. Syksa—111110133D. Prylepa—7512111
WJul 23 · 09:00O. Syksa—1151011113D. Prylepa—81112882
O. Syksa10
WSep 7 · 07:00O. Syksa1.6711911113D. Kuzmenko2.10911861WSep 7 · 05:00O. Syksa1.611110911113S. Maliuk2.2051211972WSep 6 · 11:30S. Aristarkhov1.6111971142O. Syksa2.2031111373WSep 6 · 10:00O. Syksa1.2011136113O. Lyman4.338111141WSep 6 · 08:00D. Prylepa2.50111301162O. Syksa1.50215116113LSep 6 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov1.5311118113O. Syksa2.38881151LSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.5711911133O. Syksa2.256115111LSep 4 · 10:30O. Syksa2.50611691M. Hubenko1.5011611113LSep 4 · 07:30O. Syksa1.6741181182O. Kurylenko2.10116118113WSep 4 · 06:00O. Syksa1.251111113O. Lyman3.757780
D. Prylepa10
LSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.61115551S. Maliuk2.2091111113LSep 7 · 04:30D. Prylepa3.00119471S. Chuhai1.3691111113WSep 6 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.3381111113O. Lyman3.25117881WSep 6 · 09:00V. Tatarnykov1.5011116762D. Prylepa2.50791111113LSep 6 · 08:00D. Prylepa2.50111301162O. Syksa1.50215116113LSep 6 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531211113D. Prylepa2.3810570LSep 6 · 05:30D. Prylepa2.6331141172S. Aristarkhov1.44118117113LSep 4 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.5767111192S. Maliuk2.25111168113WSep 4 · 08:00D. Prylepa1.3611611113O. Lyman3.00711651LSep 4 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531181110133D. Prylepa2.38911512112
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