TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084867
Played Sep 6Finished
Oleksandr Syksa
Home
1.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181311611114––
Oleksandr Lyman
Away
4.33
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:18 and never touched — 84.6% is still 84.6%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
84.6%
84.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Syksa above · Oleksandr Lyman below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 75 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 84.6%
75 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Syksa 23–3 Oleksandr Lyman Oleksandr Lyman has won 3 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:18What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Syksa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-3 in 26
Syksa
Correct
gap of 20 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syksa 1550 vs Lyman 1412
Syksa
Correct
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syksa 40% vs Lyman 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syksa 40% vs Lyman 20%
Syksa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Syksa +1 · Lyman -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Syksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lyman form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyksa 1.20 / Lyman 4.33
Signal prob.85% / 15%
Edge (Syksa)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13084867
Syksa1.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite69% won 229 of 334
Up 2–0, closes it94% 92 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it82% 153 of 187
Lyman4.33
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog27% won 57 of 209
Down 0–1, comes back15% 19 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyksa9wins
AwayLyman1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSyksa leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyksa85.7%6 of 7
AwayLyman0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syksa7Lyman3n = 10Syksa took 7 of 10
S2Syksa8Lyman2n = 10Syksa took 8 of 10
S3Syksa7Lyman3n = 10Syksa took 7 of 10
S4Syksa6Lyman2n = 8Syksa took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyksaLymanS − LBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.537.3+6.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyksaLymanBasisWin rate · lifetime573 / 1100 vs 275 / 61252.1%44.9%573 / 1100 vs 275 / 612Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaSyksa 1.20/Lyman 4.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.6%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Syksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 06:00O. Syksa—1111113O. Lyman—7780
WSep 1 · 08:30O. Syksa—81111113O. Lyman—118491
WAug 27 · 04:30O. Syksa—1111113O. Lyman—7680
WAug 26 · 06:30O. Syksa—81116113O. Lyman—1161471
WAug 20 · 07:30O. Syksa—91111133O. Lyman—1195111
LJun 18 · 08:30O. Syksa—111411782O. Lyman—716511113
WJun 15 · 07:30O. Syksa—11172113O. Lyman—9151181
WJun 12 · 04:30O. Syksa—111118113O. Lyman—7131681
WJun 11 · 10:30O. Syksa—11147113O. Lyman—7121191
WJun 4 · 08:00O. Syksa—151196113O. Lyman—136111172
O. Syksa10
WSep 7 · 05:00O. Syksa1.611110911113S. Maliuk2.2051211972WSep 6 · 11:30S. Aristarkhov1.6111971142O. Syksa2.2031111373WSep 6 · 08:00D. Prylepa2.50111301162O. Syksa1.50215116113LSep 6 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov1.5311118113O. Syksa2.38881151LSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.5711911133O. Syksa2.256115111LSep 4 · 10:30O. Syksa2.50611691M. Hubenko1.5011611113WSep 4 · 09:00O. Syksa1.4411117123D. Prylepa2.638911101LSep 4 · 07:30O. Syksa1.6741181182O. Kurylenko2.10116118113WSep 4 · 06:00O. Syksa1.251111113O. Lyman3.757780LSep 4 · 04:30O. Syksa1.57117121162S. Maliuk2.25811149113
O. Lyman10
LSep 6 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.3381111113O. Lyman3.25117881LSep 6 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.3011311113O. Lyman3.40411791LSep 6 · 06:30S. Aristarkhov1.1471512113O. Lyman5.0011131091WSep 6 · 04:30V. Tatarnykov1.14681111O. Lyman5.0011114113WSep 4 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.534860O. Lyman2.381111113LSep 4 · 10:00O. Lyman2.3851080S. Maliuk1.531112113LSep 4 · 08:00D. Prylepa1.3611611113O. Lyman3.00711651LSep 4 · 06:00O. Syksa1.251111113O. Lyman3.757780LSep 4 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.256121011113O. Lyman3.75111012892LSep 3 · 11:00O. Lyman3.258560D. Kuzmenko1.331111113
Upcoming Matches
O. Syksa
O. Lyman
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