TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066941
Played Sep 3Finished
Oleksandr Lyman
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811511611––––
Dmitro Kuzmenko
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:38 and never touched — 72.5% is still 72.5%
Graded at full timeDmitro Kuzmenko to win
72.5%
72.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Lyman above · Dmitro Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 52 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Dmitro Kuzmenko at 72.5%
52 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Lyman 23–41 Dmitro Kuzmenko Oleksandr Lyman has won 23 of their 64 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:38What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Kuzmenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-41 in 64
Kuzmenko
Correct
gap of 18 in 64, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lyman 1396 vs Kuzmenko 1547
Kuzmenko
Correct
both rated, 152 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lyman 40% vs Kuzmenko 80%
Kuzmenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lyman 50% vs Kuzmenko 70%
Kuzmenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lyman -1 · Kuzmenko +4
Kuzmenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Kuzmenko) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLyman 3.25 / Kuzmenko 1.33
Signal prob.26% / 75%
Edge (Kuzmenko)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13066941
Lyman3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog28% won 56 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back15% 18 of 120
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 73
Kuzmenko1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 97 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it91% 49 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it79% 72 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLyman1wins
AwayKuzmenko9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKuzmenko leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLymann = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKuzmenko88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lyman1Kuzmenko9n = 10Kuzmenko took 9 of 10
S2Lyman3Kuzmenko7n = 10Kuzmenko took 7 of 10
S3Lyman2Kuzmenko8n = 10Kuzmenko took 8 of 10
S4Lyman1Kuzmenko3n = 4Kuzmenko took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricLymanKuzmenkoL − KBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match29.337.4−8.1per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLymanKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime273 / 604 vs 374 / 91145.2%41.1%273 / 604 vs 374 / 911Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmenkoLyman 3.25/Kuzmenko 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.5%
Kuzmenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kuzmenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 07:30O. Lyman—11770D. Kuzmenko—1311113
WAug 25 · 07:30O. Lyman—41111113D. Kuzmenko—118961
LAug 22 · 12:00O. Lyman—8880D. Kuzmenko—1111113
LJun 17 · 09:30O. Lyman—711691D. Kuzmenko—11911113
LJun 15 · 06:00O. Lyman—6890D. Kuzmenko—1111113
LJun 12 · 08:30O. Lyman—9550D. Kuzmenko—1111113
LJun 10 · 08:30O. Lyman—58120D. Kuzmenko—1111143
LJun 6 · 14:30O. Lyman—1011871D. Kuzmenko—12811113
LMay 29 · 10:00O. Lyman—124120D. Kuzmenko—1411143
LMay 27 · 11:30O. Lyman—114117102D. Kuzmenko—711611123
O. Lyman10
LSep 6 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.3381111113O. Lyman3.25117881LSep 6 · 10:00O. Syksa1.2011136113O. Lyman4.338111141LSep 6 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.3011311113O. Lyman3.40411791LSep 6 · 06:30S. Aristarkhov1.1471512113O. Lyman5.0011131091WSep 6 · 04:30V. Tatarnykov1.14681111O. Lyman5.0011114113WSep 4 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.534860O. Lyman2.381111113LSep 4 · 10:00O. Lyman2.3851080S. Maliuk1.531112113LSep 4 · 08:00D. Prylepa1.3611611113O. Lyman3.00711651LSep 4 · 06:00O. Syksa1.251111113O. Lyman3.757780LSep 4 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.256121011113O. Lyman3.75111012892
D. Kuzmenko10
LSep 7 · 09:00D. Prylepa1.5311119113D. Kuzmenko2.38961161WSep 7 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko1.831111113S. Maliuk1.839440LSep 7 · 07:00O. Syksa1.6711911113D. Kuzmenko2.10911861LSep 7 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.005670O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 5 · 17:39D. Kuzmenko3.401399101V. Tatarnykov1.30111111123LSep 5 · 16:00M. Hubenko1.28138611133D. Kuzmenko3.501111119112LSep 5 · 14:30S. Aristarkhov1.337111283D. Kuzmenko3.251141041WSep 5 · 13:00V. Tatarnykov1.307111071D. Kuzmenko3.4011412113WSep 5 · 12:00A. Vasylets1.5011610101D. Kuzmenko2.5081112123WSep 3 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko2.384630D. Kuzmenko1.531111113
Upcoming Matches
O. Lyman
Nothing scheduled
D. Kuzmenko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.