TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072968
Played Sep 4Finished
Dmytro Prylepa
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117611116115––
Oleksandr Lyman
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:53 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeDmytro Prylepa to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Prylepa above · Oleksandr Lyman below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 68 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Dmytro Prylepa at 73.2%
68 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Prylepa 21–8 Oleksandr Lyman Oleksandr Lyman has won 8 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:53What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Prylepa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-8 in 29
Prylepa
Correct
gap of 13 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prylepa 1540 vs Lyman 1376
Prylepa
Correct
both rated, 164 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prylepa 60% vs Lyman 20%
Prylepa
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prylepa 40% vs Lyman 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prylepa -2 · Lyman -4
Lyman
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Prylepa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lyman form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrylepa 1.36 / Lyman 3.00
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Prylepa)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13072968
Prylepa1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 136 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it97% 69 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it86% 113 of 131
Lyman3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog28% won 56 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back16% 19 of 120
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrylepa7wins
AwayLyman3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPrylepa leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrylepa100%7 of 7
AwayLyman100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prylepa7Lyman3n = 10Prylepa took 7 of 10
S2Prylepa7Lyman3n = 10Prylepa took 7 of 10
S3Prylepa7Lyman3n = 10Prylepa took 7 of 10
S4Prylepa4Lyman1n = 5Prylepa took 4 of 5
S5Prylepa1Lyman2n = 3Lyman took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrylepaLymanP − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.036.8+2.2per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrylepaLymanBasisWin rate · lifetime396 / 798 vs 273 / 60649.6%45.1%396 / 798 vs 273 / 606Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrylepaPrylepa 1.36/Lyman 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.2%
Prylepa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Prylepa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 18 · 11:00D. Prylepa—101121522O. Lyman—1291113113
WJun 15 · 10:30D. Prylepa—128811123O. Lyman—1011119102
WJun 10 · 07:00D. Prylepa—1511113O. Lyman—13890
WJun 3 · 08:00D. Prylepa—1111153O. Lyman—77130
LMay 30 · 15:00D. Prylepa—82111152O. Lyman—111159113
WMay 27 · 09:30D. Prylepa—111114113O. Lyman—9131291
LMay 19 · 06:00D. Prylepa—911571O. Lyman—11611113
WMay 16 · 12:30D. Prylepa—1111133O. Lyman—75110
WMay 13 · 08:30D. Prylepa—1111173O. Lyman—85150
WMay 9 · 13:00D. Prylepa—1311113O. Lyman—11850
D. Prylepa10
LSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.61115551S. Maliuk2.2091111113LSep 7 · 04:30D. Prylepa3.00119471S. Chuhai1.3691111113WSep 6 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.3381111113O. Lyman3.25117881WSep 6 · 09:00V. Tatarnykov1.5011116762D. Prylepa2.50791111113LSep 6 · 08:00D. Prylepa2.50111301162O. Syksa1.50215116113LSep 6 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531211113D. Prylepa2.3810570LSep 6 · 05:30D. Prylepa2.6331141172S. Aristarkhov1.44118117113LSep 4 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.5767111192S. Maliuk2.25111168113LSep 4 · 09:00O. Syksa1.4411117123D. Prylepa2.638911101LSep 4 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531181110133D. Prylepa2.38911512112
O. Lyman10
LSep 6 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.3381111113O. Lyman3.25117881LSep 6 · 10:00O. Syksa1.2011136113O. Lyman4.338111141LSep 6 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.3011311113O. Lyman3.40411791LSep 6 · 06:30S. Aristarkhov1.1471512113O. Lyman5.0011131091WSep 6 · 04:30V. Tatarnykov1.14681111O. Lyman5.0011114113WSep 4 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.534860O. Lyman2.381111113LSep 4 · 10:00O. Lyman2.3851080S. Maliuk1.531112113LSep 4 · 06:00O. Syksa1.251111113O. Lyman3.757780LSep 4 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.256121011113O. Lyman3.75111012892LSep 3 · 11:00O. Lyman3.258560D. Kuzmenko1.331111113
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