TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072932
Played Sep 4Finished
Maksym Hubenko
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11981111510121311
Dmytro Prylepa
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:40 and never touched — 65.2% is still 65.2%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
65.2%
65.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Hubenko above · Dmytro Prylepa below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 101 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 65.2%
101 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Hubenko 89–42 Dmytro Prylepa Dmytro Prylepa has won 42 of their 131 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:40What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Hubenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
89-42 in 131
Hubenko
Correct
gap of 47 in 131, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hubenko 1709 vs Prylepa 1517
Hubenko
Correct
both rated, 192 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hubenko 80% vs Prylepa 60%
Hubenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hubenko 80% vs Prylepa 40%
Hubenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hubenko +3 · Prylepa -1
Hubenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Hubenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prylepa form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubenko 1.53 / Prylepa 2.38
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Hubenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13072932
Hubenko1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite74% won 243 of 329
Up 2–0, closes it95% 121 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it84% 169 of 201
Prylepa2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 47 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back10% 9 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHubenko7wins
AwayPrylepa3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHubenko100%6 of 6
AwayPrylepa75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hubenko6Prylepa4n = 10Hubenko took 6 of 10
S2Hubenko4Prylepa6n = 10Prylepa took 6 of 10
S3Hubenko5Prylepa5n = 10split evenly
S4Hubenko4Prylepa2n = 6Hubenko took 4 of 6
S5Hubenko4Prylepa1n = 5Hubenko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHubenkoPrylepaH − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.840.1+1.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubenkoPrylepaBasisWin rate · lifetime543 / 1021 vs 393 / 79753.2%49.3%543 / 1021 vs 393 / 797Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoHubenko 1.53/Prylepa 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.2%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 07:00M. Hubenko—1181110133D. Prylepa—911512112
WAug 31 · 07:00M. Hubenko—1111911113D. Prylepa—51311982
LAug 30 · 14:30M. Hubenko—10360D. Prylepa—1211113
LAug 28 · 08:30M. Hubenko—81490D. Prylepa—1116113
WAug 20 · 05:00M. Hubenko—1111133D. Prylepa—58110
WAug 16 · 17:30M. Hubenko—1162011113D. Prylepa—131118282
WAug 16 · 13:30M. Hubenko—1111123D. Prylepa—77100
LAug 13 · 08:00M. Hubenko—41161122D. Prylepa—116117113
WAug 12 · 10:30M. Hubenko—1210149143D. Prylepa—10121211122
WAug 5 · 10:30M. Hubenko—11118113D. Prylepa—671181
M. Hubenko10
LSep 6 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov2.00812114133M. Hubenko1.731110911112WSep 6 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.831113113S. Aristarkhov1.8361160WSep 6 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.3011311113O. Lyman3.40411791WSep 6 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531211113D. Prylepa2.3810570WSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.5711911133O. Syksa2.256115111LSep 5 · 17:10M. Hubenko1.83121160S. Aristarkhov1.831413113WSep 5 · 16:00M. Hubenko1.28138611133D. Kuzmenko3.501111119112WSep 5 · 15:00A. Vasylets2.38651171M. Hubenko1.5311118103WSep 5 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov2.0010960M. Hubenko1.731211113LSep 5 · 12:30S. Aristarkhov1.836111112113M. Hubenko1.8311491442
D. Prylepa10
LSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.61115551S. Maliuk2.2091111113LSep 7 · 04:30D. Prylepa3.00119471S. Chuhai1.3691111113WSep 6 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.3381111113O. Lyman3.25117881WSep 6 · 09:00V. Tatarnykov1.5011116762D. Prylepa2.50791111113LSep 6 · 08:00D. Prylepa2.50111301162O. Syksa1.50215116113LSep 6 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531211113D. Prylepa2.3810570LSep 6 · 05:30D. Prylepa2.6331141172S. Aristarkhov1.44118117113LSep 4 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.5767111192S. Maliuk2.25111168113LSep 4 · 09:00O. Syksa1.4411117123D. Prylepa2.638911101WSep 4 · 08:00D. Prylepa1.3611611113O. Lyman3.00711651
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D. Prylepa
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